So a 5 senate seat pickup is in play for the democrats. Fetterman WINNING (PA) Val Demings WINNING (FL) Mandela Barnes. WINNING (WI) Tim Ryan CLOSE (OH) Cheri Beasley WINNING (NC) Val Demmings pulls into the lead Tim Ryan turned his race into a surprise Senate battleground. Now comes the hard part. - POLITICO Democrats' chances of flipping North Carolina's GOP-held Senate seat: Polls Johnson down 7 points to Barnes
They certainly look better than they did a few months ago, and got a huge hand from the trumpers that the pubs put up. But I would caution that the election is still 3 months away, and polls are notoriously bad at picking up wave elections. So we shall see.
Florida polling seems to be 3-4% off in favor of republicans the last few cycles. I’m surprised Warnock-Walker is even close, though, simply unreal.
They weight the last several polls. It’s fair but they are slow to pick up new trends. They’ll catch up in a week or two of polls hold.
Has Trump put the Republican party in danger of repeating the 2010 Senate race? Trump has spent the 2022 primary season resisting the Republican establishment in order to put his own mark on the party. Not surprisingly he has shown a penchant for candidates who are celebrities and novices at politics—just like he was back in 2016. If, in November, Democrats continue to control the Senate and perhaps even pick up a seat or two the Republicans will have no one to blame but Donald Trump.
I doubt it. My best guesses: FL - Rubio wins PA - Fetterman wins WI - Close call NC - Close call, but I'd bet GOP OH - Toss up (because Vance is a terrible candidate and Ryan is a good one)
I don't think the Dems know how to operate a broom, so they will probably just get their south American housekeepers to sweep it for them.
Meh. I have no doubt Pelosi owns a broom to ride up Republicans asses. She’s deployed it often recently.
Take away Lawrence Phillips and Tommy Frazier in the 1996 Fiesta Bowl and we would have won. Same analogy, lol.
Of course, because who doesn’t want to go back in time 80 years like the GOP is currently trying to govern like.
The House is just as important, but I would like to see the two Dumb as Rocks - Johnson and Rubio - lose. Neither belongs in the Senate.
I expect the dems to pick up three, Fetterman, Barnes and Beasley. Rubio getting knocked off would restore my faith in Florida but I don't see it happening.
Care to show how or where republicans where favored in Florida the last few cycles? rcp had Biden plus .09. It went trump 3.3 Rcp in 2018 had Gillum plus 3.6. It went DeSantis .4 Have you ever tried thinking or researching without so much bias?