What is the best realistic seed we can get?

GW? Quad one away games are 1-75. Mizzou is currently 67. Quad one neutral games are 1-50. TCU is currently 43.

 

As of RN:

Quad 1: 2-5 (UGA / Miami)
Qaud 2: 2-0
Quad 3: 1-0
Quad 4: 5-0

Games left are currently:

Quad 1: 9
Quad 2: 5
Quad 3: 2

If the tourney was today, we'd probably be 6-8.

I think we can play our way into as high as a 3/4. A 2 if we win out, but that seems unlikely to say the least.

We'd have to collapse to not make the tournament and CTFG teams don't have a history of collapse.

 

It would not shock me that we end up a 4 seed with the metrics of a 3 seed. And then get the best 1 seed in our bracket. Maybe Arizona out West.

 

Looking at our metrics (Pomeroy, Torvik, Net, BPI) we would be a 3 seed but Bracket Matrix (an amalgam of 58 bracket projections) puts us as a 7 seed. We are under the radar with the pundits and guys posting from their mother's basement. That is a good thing.

 

We're gonna win the next 5 and you people will be saying 3 seed or better. CTFG is coaching the team to prepare for March and it looks like it's working for Lee and Fland. Those 2 keep playing have have recently, we'll not only be a tough out for the rest of the season, but post-season as well.

 

The Gators have quietly moved into the #10 ranking in Kenpom and Evanmiya, and 11th in Torvik. Just based on that, we are currently a 3-seed, although the NCAA NET rankings are infamous for seeding you according to whim at the last moment. Or pretending that a win or loss at the beginning of the season is no different than one at mid- or late-season.
After we crush Vandy on Saturday, we might be a top-8 team, 2-seed territory.

 

Lunardi's latest bracketology, prior to this week's game with Oklahoma has us up to a 4 seed, playing the first two rounds in Tampa.

We moved into #10 in KenPom ahead of Vandy following their loss at Texas Wednesday. The 9 teams ahead of us have one loss or less other than Illinois.

 

Yeah, I think our postseason position is better than some think. Would be awesome if we could go in to the NCAA Tournament as a 2 or 3 seed. Path usually sets up quite nicely, and could be a year with a lot of upsets to take advantage of.

 

Our metrics are pretty good, but our resume is not, so I’d like to see us score some more quality wins. At Vandy is perhaps the best potential win left on our schedule, so it starts on Saturday.

 

Especially our away-from-home showings. Need to sure that up for March for sure because obviously there are no home games at that point.
We have final four potential. We also have the potential to get upset in the first weekend with our current "floor". Need to sure things up, bring that floor up with more guard development, and maybe find sure up who's next on the bench in an injury scenario as well.
But the path to March has started in earnest. Everything from here on out will have magnified importance of not only the game but getting those last elements of development.

 

After Vandy, the metrics just got better, my personal hope is the team is concentrating on SEC play, one game at a time. UF and tamu are both tied at 4-1 for league best.

It is encouraging to see UF reel off 4 in a row including 2 on the road, especially winning a tight one on the road against a quality Vandy team.

LSU at home is another opportunity to extend the streak to 5. It has been fun and encouraging to watch the team improve.

I know there is great emphasis on March but I have always dug hanging SEC regular season banners or winning an SEC tournament trophy.

 

They are quickly getting better. We are 20th in KPI, 18th in SOR, and 19th in WAB. Given that our predictive metrics are all top 10, the NET has us at 15, and only two teams (Arizona, Duke) have more Q1 wins than us, I think we are in a very good spot presently. Firm 3-seed (for now). Don’t see us with a shot at a 1, but a 2 is still on the table.

 

We've played a difficult schedule with more Quad 1 games than anybody. However, the 5 losses hurt us insofar as moving up in the NET rankings unless we keep winning and don't lose any Quad 2 games. We are the highest ranked NET team with more than 3 losses, so our SOS is being recognized. With a NET of #15, that would put us at a #4 seed. The only SEC team with an higher NET ranking right now is Vanderbilt at #13. The SEC is highly competitive, but doesn't have the powerhouse teams that last year's SEC had. Still, if we keep playing like we have the last 4 games, we'll be fine and give ourselves a shot at a good seed and a chance to do damage in the post season. It's all going to depend on how consistently well our guards play. The frontcourt is probably the best in the nation, but to be elite you've got to have guards who can play at a high level without turnovers game in and game out. We're moving in the right direction, so we'll see how it plays out. I'm optimistic and really like Todd Golden and the way he handles the team.

 

Yeah, it's aggravating that all the respectable metrics systems have us up in the top 10. Torvik and Kenpom have us at #9, Evanmiya has us at #7. That's 2 and 3-seed range. Yet the creaky NET system has at #15. That's barely good enough to get us into the Tampa first round.
With Torvik, you can look at how well a team is playing recently by adjusting the calendar. If you start it at December 31st, the Gators are #3 nationally, and #1 in scoring efficiency. Wow. But NET says, "Shite with ya and yer computers. The first couple a games matter just as much as the last few." Which isn't real-world thinking.

 

They don’t seed according to the NET. It’s a baseline, and they use it to establish quad wins. But the committee also uses the results and predictive metrics (all six of which I cited above), plus its own subjective evaluation.

 

Torvik’s Teamsheets is the best place to keep up with this: Verifying Browser...

 

At the end of the day it's up to the committee isn't it? All of these "services" are interesting but rarely are they exact enough to be precisely on point come selection Sunday. That is demonstrated every year.

Just keep winning, the rest will take care of itself.

 

Aging badly.

 

Agreed, the squad and the staff seem to have discovered their "legs". That W at Vandy was huge. The schedule sets up somewhat favorable.
I had forecast 12-6 but this squad may beat that. Replicating last years 14-4 looks possible.

 

I'm just going to assume he meant we were on the 2-seed bubble.