Discussion in 'Diamond Gators' started by ArtVandelay, Aug 22, 2019.
Astros stunned in historic upset at sportsbooks
It's MLB. Are there really upsets that shock anyone?
Except for maybe when Justin VerLander is still on the mound in the 9th inning......
You just had to bring this up...
Two in two weeks! WTH!!!!
Yeah, I thought this was silly. Baseball games can be one-sided, but so many crazy things can happen to affect the outcome. I don’t have the full quote, but it’s like Crash Davis’ explanation of the difference between hitting .300 or not
Know what the difference between hitting .250 and .300 is? It's 25 hits - 25 hits in 500 at-bats is 50 points. There's six months in a season, that's about 25 weeks. That means if you get just one extra flare a week - just one - you get a ground ball with eyes, you get a dying quail, just one more dying quail a week ... and you're in Yankee Stadium.
May or may not be 100% accurate, I did it from memory.
There's honestly no such thing as a truly "shocking" result in a baseball game, at least when you're talking about two teams playing at the same level of the sport. Look at some of the outcomes of our midweek games since we became a dominant program. Baseball games aren't "random," but baseball is the sport with the weakest link between team quality and the outcome of any given game.
In other words, you shouldn't be betting on baseball games.
I think the shocking part is in the line itself. You don't usually see lines that high in MLB, so when it happens, the line itself is rather notable. Obviously some of those underdogs are going to come out on top. Take a look at opening lines for NCAA baseball play, you'll see big favorites go down.
Heck even the Orioles beat the streaking Nats last night
Yeah, but that’s their fault, there were no triples!!!
In baseball the worst team in the league can sweep the best team at home. A very good team only has a 60% chance over the season of winning. It is nothing like football.
I would say that the biggest shocker in my life was the 1969 Mets beating the Orioles. That was a STACKED Orioles team and the Mets had guys like Al Weis and Tommy Agee.