Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!

Poll shows Charlie Crist trouncing DeSantis, and DeSantis tied with Nikki Fried.

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by jjgator55, Mar 9, 2022.

  1. jjgator55

    jjgator55 Premium Member

    3,151
    697
    1,868
    Apr 3, 2007
    • Funny Funny x 10
    • Optimistic Optimistic x 3
    • Like Like x 1
    • Informative Informative x 1
  2. G8R92

    G8R92 GC Hall of Fame

    2,506
    223
    323
    Feb 5, 2010
    If 1,064 people are electing our governor…..
     
    • Funny Funny x 2
    • Agree Agree x 1
  3. GatorNorth

    GatorNorth Premium Member Premium Member

    13,725
    6,954
    3,203
    Apr 3, 2007
    Atlanta
    Poll skews left heavily based on reported party affiliation.
     
    • Funny Funny x 2
    • Winner Winner x 2
    • Informative Informative x 1
  4. jjgator55

    jjgator55 Premium Member

    3,151
    697
    1,868
    Apr 3, 2007
    “The persons sampled were Florida likely voters with a voting score of 100% for the primary and general election cycles. The voters called were those only with landlines and were called using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system and were called during the hours of 4PM to 8PM on February 23, 2022. The Margin of Error for this study is +/- 3% with a confidence level of 95%. “
     
    • Funny Funny x 2
    • Like Like x 1
    • Informative Informative x 1
  5. sierragator

    sierragator GC Hall of Fame

    11,238
    12,351
    1,653
    Apr 8, 2007
    I don't live in Florida any more, but from out west it sure looks like a red state.
     
  6. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

    23,685
    1,005
    1,968
    Apr 19, 2007
    This election will be midterm level turnout, so that's pretty close actually. The polls are usually the worst when they fail to account for new/unlikely voters. Less of a problem when its midterm type turnout of high propensity voters. That being said, its March. No one should be paying attention to any polls yet.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  7. tampagtr

    tampagtr VIP Member

    10,026
    910
    708
    Apr 3, 2007
    This is by far the most comprehensive source for any matter having to do with State of Florida politics. They have a companion daily podcast and even a text service I subscribe to. Oddly, they have not mentioned this poll yet, which at least appears to be reputable. But I would be surprised if that was all were repeated as much is it would make me happy. Florida Politics also does its own polling.


    Offering the Sunshine State's most in-depth coverage of campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying.
     
    • Informative Informative x 1
  8. CaptUSMCNole

    CaptUSMCNole Premium Member

    3,382
    242
    343
    May 23, 2007
    NCR
    • Like Like x 2
    • Informative Informative x 1
  9. defensewinschampionships

    defensewinschampionships GC Hall of Fame

    5,671
    2,222
    1,998
    Sep 16, 2018
    Same Polls had Clinton in a landslide.

    Just saying.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  10. channingcrowderhungry

    channingcrowderhungry Premium Member

    Ah yes, that wide representative swath of normal people still using landlines.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
    • Funny Funny x 2
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
  11. ridgetop

    ridgetop GC Legend

    879
    340
    1,788
    Aug 4, 2020
    Top of the ridge
    Landlines ONLY? That’s going to be a much older generation who usually vote democrat.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  12. WC53

    WC53 GC Hall of Fame

    2,817
    677
    1,958
    Oct 17, 2015
    Old City
    Don’t believe any of it. Went through this before and most of the methods of reaching out to people were deeply flawed. The folks who work in Florida also said don’t believe it.
     
  13. PerSeGator

    PerSeGator GC Hall of Fame

    2,328
    376
    1,993
    Jun 14, 2014
    Old people tilt Republican.

    Old people who own landlines and answer automated phone calls between 4 and 8 PM is a bit of an unknown.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Funny Funny x 1
  14. CaptUSMCNole

    CaptUSMCNole Premium Member

    3,382
    242
    343
    May 23, 2007
    NCR
    This is not a well known polling firm. This poll was published 12 days ago and I have not seen it included in any average of polls. My guess is that this poll was paid for by a Democratic campaign or group and released to try and attract some donations to either Crist or Fried. Democrats desperately need it.
    Current Cash on Hand:
    Crist - $4M
    Fried - $.9M
    DeSantis - $64M

    Florida gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2022
     
    Last edited: Mar 9, 2022
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Winner Winner x 1
    • Informative Informative x 1
  15. GatorNorth

    GatorNorth Premium Member Premium Member

    13,725
    6,954
    3,203
    Apr 3, 2007
    Atlanta
    So?

    From the poll itself

    Democrsts 520
    Republicans 409
    NOA 135
    Total 1064

    Seems a good skew left to me.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
    • Winner Winner x 1
    • Informative Informative x 1
  16. OklahomaGator

    OklahomaGator Jedi Administrator Moderator VIP Member

    106,056
    147,390
    116,973
    Apr 3, 2007
    That poll showed DeSantis losing to Crist by 13 points. I wonder if you can get DeSantis +12 as a bet in Vegas?
     
    • Winner Winner x 1
  17. CaptUSMCNole

    CaptUSMCNole Premium Member

    3,382
    242
    343
    May 23, 2007
    NCR
    shut-up-and-take-my-money-futurama.gif
     
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
    • Funny Funny x 1
  18. G8R92

    G8R92 GC Hall of Fame

    2,506
    223
    323
    Feb 5, 2010
    8 million cast ballots for governor in 2018.
     
  19. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

    6,996
    446
    1,468
    Apr 8, 2007
    I still think over the last 8 years or so polls have become more unreliable due to people intentionally lying to pollsters so they can say “ see, the polls were wrong”. When polls use 1000 people, every 10 people who lie changes the spread by 2%.
     
    • Creative Creative x 1
  20. mrhansduck

    mrhansduck GC Legend

    889
    170
    1,648
    Nov 23, 2021
    I know of this company but can't say how reliable they may or may not be. I do know they often work for candidates but don't know whether they have a separate polling arm or whether they have an agenda here. I definitely share your skepticism about these numbers.
     
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1