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NbN Bracket Challenge . . . Round Two Results

Discussion in 'Nuttin' but Net' started by gatordavisl, Mar 25, 2020.

  1. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Ok, sportsfans - here come the round two scores. Soon we will know the Sweet Sixteen.

    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final
    Seton Hall......63................72...............73...............69
    Creighton.......71................71...............71...............71

    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final
    Colorado.........64................77...............66...............69
    SanDiego St ...80................74...............68...............74

    Once again, the judges have a common score, this time for Creighton. We also had two judges picking the six seed upset over three seed Creighton. The three seed, however, hangs on and will face SanDiego St in the sweet 16.
     
  2. gatorbogey

    gatorbogey Premium Member

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    Once again 2 judges pick the upset! Need to favor 2 over one. Perhaps, a statistical analysis of the data is in order. Perhaps, the one judge’s score is an outlier - a bad data point - compared to the other data points? If you remove “bad data” and re-calibrate, what’s the result? What would constitute a “bad data point” statistically speaking? Scores outside 1 standard deviation?
     
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  3. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Given that the judges are doing this gratis, I suggest that there are no bad data points. The flaw was mine and mine alone and I'll live with it. It's a good lesson in perception and statistics and I should have anticipated the "regression to the mean" factor.
     
  4. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final
    USC.............84................72...............77...............78
    BYU.............91................67................82...............80

    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final
    Arizona.........81................65...............64...............70
    FSU..............80................80...............73...............78

    FSU matches up w BYU in the sweet sixteen.
     
  5. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Ask and thou shalt receive. Out of interest, I ran Pearson r correlation coefficients to determine the strength of relationship among the judges' scores. Here are the outcomes.

    .................................Judge B.....Judge C

    Judge A.
    .....................0.45..........0.61

    Judge B......................................0.63

    Correlations range between -1 (perfect negative relationship) and +1 (perfect positive). These numbers suggest moderately positive relationships between judges' scores. Judges B and C show the most agreement and judges A/C show similar agreement. Keep in mind that the judges are making subjective decisions regarding hypothetical outcomes. It appears, however, that each is relying upon some form of objective data (kenpom, scoring avg, etc.) because their numbers suggest moderately positive agreement. I give them a solid 'A' based on these figures. :emoji_nerd:
     
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  6. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final
    Virginia.........63................56...............59...............59
    Michigan St... 58................64...............65...............62

    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final
    Penn St.........61................70...............66...............66
    Louisville.......83................80...............70...............78

    Michigan St meets Louisville in the sweet 16. The defending champions are out. No repeat!
     
  7. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Last scores for today. Sorry these are coming out so late. It's been a long day.

    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final
    Dayton..........100..............83...............76...............86
    NC St............77................71...............67...............72

    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final
    Kentucky.......85................69...............69...............74
    Wisconsin......59................70...............65...............65

    Another big10 team goes down. We now have a UK vs. Dayton matchup in the sweet 16. Wonder what @dailydoublecat and @REM08 think about this.
     
  8. OklahomaGator

    OklahomaGator Jedi Administrator Moderator VIP Member

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    I can be bribed!!! j/k
     
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  9. gatorbogey

    gatorbogey Premium Member

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    Yeah, .... but...
    They are *not* in agreement with MY picks .... ;)
     
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  10. REM08

    REM08 GC Hall of Fame

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    Once I'd gotten over my rage for having been given a 5 seed haha, this definitely would have been an interesting matchup. I do think Dayton is/was a legit team but I would rather be playing them then a team like Kansas. Dayton didn't see many teams with UK's length or overall level of talent. That being said, Dayton still would have had the best player on the floor. I'd have been fine with the matchup - not scared but not over confident. Think it would have been close to a pick-em game.
     
  11. OklahomaGator

    OklahomaGator Jedi Administrator Moderator VIP Member

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    Should have had you do the annual Calipari "complain about my seed" segment here on NBN.
     
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  12. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Allright folks, here come the round 2, day 2 games . . .

    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final
    Baylor...........88................83...............77...............83
    LSU..............66................70...............65...............67

    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final
    Houston........75................63...............66...............68
    Villanova.......77................79...............61...............72

    Baylor will face Villanova in the Sweet 16.
     
  13. GatorTodd

    GatorTodd GC Hall of Fame

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    Thank you Baylor!
     
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  14. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final
    Utah St..........81 (OT)........68...............70...............73
    Oregon..........79................79...............75...............78

    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final
    Oklahoma.......81...............72...............73...............75
    Duke..............72...............85...............80...............79

    Duke and Oregon survive and will faceoff in the sweet 16. Judge A had the upset in both games, but it was not to be.
     
  15. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Florida vs. Kansas getting ready to tip off.
     
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  16. OklahomaGator

    OklahomaGator Jedi Administrator Moderator VIP Member

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    We are not the late game?
     
  17. OklahomaGator

    OklahomaGator Jedi Administrator Moderator VIP Member

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    Anxiously waiting.......
     
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  18. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Confession: I erred in the bracket here. No way the St. Mary's / Gonzaga matchup would happen in the second round, maybe a regional final, but even that is doubtful. I had St. Mary's seeded pretty well, but missed on their region. Sorry folks!

    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final

    Gonzaga........72...............87...............72...............77
    St. Mary's......60...............75...............63...............66

    Team...........judge A.......judge B.......judge C.......Final
    Auburn..........84...............77...............69...............77
    Maryland.......72................73...............68...............71

    Auburn will face Gonzaga in the sweet 16. I'm sorry it got so late before getting these scores out. The FL/KS game has gone to OT and we all had to drink enough to pass out, with the game still raging on, I'll share that score tomorrow.
     
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  19. gatorbogey

    gatorbogey Premium Member

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    How are the crowds at the games? Lockdown games? Pep bands only? Everyone wearing masks? (Makes it difficult to play a trumpet)
     
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  20. OklahomaGator

    OklahomaGator Jedi Administrator Moderator VIP Member

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    And who predicted that!!!!!!!!
     
    Last edited: Mar 27, 2020