Something I have a question about is how did they get the reporting so fast. The strike happened Saturday and this BDA typically takes about three days to do properly. I’m assuming these guys were working over the weekend so that report would only have likely been done on Monday night or Tuesday morning. That means that thing likely still had wet ink on went the reporters got it.
I don’t know the first thing about how they analyzed it, etc., but if any situation warranted an expedient process it was this one.
Assuming the report is accurate, Netanyahu is going to catch a heap load of crap for agreeing to the ceasefire. And, what makes it worse, he was getting ready to announce a slowdown of the war before the ceasefire was even proposed. Looks like Israel had some bad intelligence, which is rare, to say the least.
So does Trump kill the messenger and fire people or take the report into account when planning next steps?
They only have imagery to do their assessment right now. The imagery is what’s been posted as well as classified data collected. If better pictures require satellite movements, it doesn’t happen like in Hollywood movies. These things can take time. When you add SIGINT and HUMINT you get a better assessment.
If the Bunker Bombs didn't shut down the program, what's next? Invasion, that's what. Boots on the ground, boots in the subterranean nuclear center. Does Iran have much of an army? Soften the target with some more bombs, then send in Special Ops to get it done.
Bibi actions should tell us a lot about how the strike went. if he abide by the cease-fire and is OK with a negotiated fee steel, that probably means we got most of the program. If he starts talking about Iran, violating, cease-fire, or still developing a nuclear program, then I will take that to me and that strike did not go that well.
A victory declaration was inevitable. The Syrians and Egyptians declared victory in 1973 with Israel inside their borders and, in the case of Egypt of Egypt, an entire field army surrounded.