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Inflation at 0.1% for November (Updated)

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by WarDamnGator, Oct 13, 2022.

  1. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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  2. OklahomaGator

    OklahomaGator Jedi Administrator Moderator VIP Member

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    Core inflation was up 0.6%, 6.6% for the year. All of the numbers exceeded expectations. Not good for Americans.
     
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  3. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

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    Sweet, more rate hikes incoming that wont do anything because all these guys think its the 1970s
     
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  4. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    The scary part to me is we obviously have a very real inflation problem and historically, the Federal Reserve has had to get much more aggressive than they have been to kill it off. And folks are already freaking out about how aggressive they’ve been. This is nothing. Look back at history. The Federal Reserve has just begun.
     
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  5. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

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    Rightly so, are you ready for a global recession where stimulus is off the table followed by a lost decade and high unemployment? Higher prices with a good job market seem much better than that. There's nothing the Fed can do to stop a war in Ukraine, make OPEC pump gas or reopen supply chains to China.
     
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  6. magnetofsnatch

    magnetofsnatch Rudy Ray Moore’s Idol Premium Member

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    Problem is the ex food and energy number uses rental data from 6-9 months ago. No shit it was red hot 6-9 months ago. Likely 100 basis point hike incoming.

    This can’t be good news for the left going into midterms. Money trumps everything (no pun intended) and the major issue at the polls will be the economy and not abortion.
     
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  7. AgingGator

    AgingGator GC Hall of Fame

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    As Carville famously said: “It’s the Economy Stupid”.
     
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  8. gatorzilla91

    gatorzilla91 All American

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    It’s going to be a bloodbath at the midterms

    Money talks. BS walks.
     
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  9. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    I tend to agree. Most Americans have watched their 401k plummet, while buying power of said 401k plummet as well due to inflation. That’s historically a bad omen for the ruling party.
     
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  10. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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    That would put us at 0.5% for the quarter, which works out to about 2% for the year, which is the Fed's target. It would be nice if they'd give it a rest for a month and see what happens in october ...
     
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  11. back2back2006

    back2back2006 GC Legend

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    Did you ever take ANY classes in economics?
     
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  12. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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    What did I post that was wrong? Be Specific. I know you want very badly for the fed to overshoot their correction, and fulfill their dream of bringing back stagflation, because that would be good for Trump's reelection campaign, but after 0.0%, 0.1% and 0.4% monthly readings, maybe it's time to take a month off the rate hikes and see if they've already damaged the economy enough.
     
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  13. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    I understand the point you are trying to make, but the Fed will always look at the annual number as it's the larger, more complete sample size. Not to mention the monthly number is a huge acceleration and fully in line with the annual number. The Fed may even hike a full point in November, based on this.
     
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  14. dangolegators

    dangolegators GC Hall of Fame

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    Did you? Remember last year when the inflation number came in around 8% and you said that equated to a yearly inflation rate of around 96%?
     
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  15. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

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    Interesting that the markets initially fell fast but have now rebounded and gone heavily positive (DJIA is up 2.28% currently). There were some strong earnings reports, so maybe it is just less fear of recession, but it is interesting that markets only seemed to care briefly (it should be noted that I am not claiming that the market will go up or down the rest of today, as I have no clue what will happen).
     
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  16. BigCypressGator1981

    BigCypressGator1981 GC Hall of Fame

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    My stocks have been on a wild ride today. Plummeted this AM when this report came out and now soaring. I just don't get it.
     
  17. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    The market is trying to figure out what it wants to do. On the one hand, the report this morning gives the market the comfort that the Fed will keep hiking rates at a brisk pace. The market finds comfort in this due to the belief that such action will eventually lead to a significant recession and thus the Fed will start lowering rates to fight the recession. So while the market generally doesn't like higher rates from the Fed, they're breathing a sigh of relief because they think the Fed will rip the band-aid off, which will set up the need to ease down the line. Convoluted, isn't it?
     
  18. BigCypressGator1981

    BigCypressGator1981 GC Hall of Fame

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    Clear as mud.
     
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  19. snatchmagnet

    snatchmagnet Bring On The Bacon Premium Member

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    What would be your recommendation to slow down spending? Pile of money rained into the system. Gas, and more importantly Diesel are off the charts. Diesel is causing everything to go up. Rates are the only way to stop throwing good money after bad.
     
  20. snatchmagnet

    snatchmagnet Bring On The Bacon Premium Member

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    Volatility is frowned upon. Lol. They will crush volatility to get back to static. Always been that way. It’s why the fed is a dangerous group. Ask Kennedy
     
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