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Do we have the D to foil the Vols?

Discussion in 'Nuttin' but Net' started by gatorbogey, Jan 11, 2019 at 7:53 AM.

  1. missourigator

    missourigator GC Legend

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    No way! This team is going to be like a roller coaster. A punch of average games and then a few great ones.
     
  2. Matherly87

    Matherly87 GC Hall of Fame

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    Here's my perplexing question. Do we have our bigs, that are over matched, play aggressive to force as many fouls as possible? Knowing we will get into foul trouble, but hoping at the same time their bigs are sitting with foul trouble. Can we even things up if Hayes, Stone, Hudson, Schofield, Williams, and/or Alexander are all dealing with foul trouble and both teams have to rely on their backups? Certainly it's very unlikely this many are in foul trouble, but I would think this would make the game more guard reliant and thus advantage Gators.
     
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  3. OklahomaGator

    OklahomaGator Jedi Administrator Moderator VIP Member

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    That's a rather broad definition.
     
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  4. gatorbogey

    gatorbogey Premium Member

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    Only if they flip the camera!
     
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  5. RD_gator

    RD_gator GC Hall of Fame

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    Like in all big games, Florida will need complimentary post offense (by Hayes, Stone, Basset, Stokes, etc.) to go along with their perimeter game. I will be surprised if White elects to go to a 4-guard line-up for extended periods.

    Here are what Tennessee's top players are averaging for the vols:
    Tennessee Volunteers 2018-19 Statistics - Team and Player Stats - Men's College Basketball - ESPN

    PG: 6'3 174 Jordan Bone: 14.2 ppg, 6.2 apg
    G: 6'5 193 Jordan Bowden: 9.6 ppg, 2.9 apg, 3.4 reb/g
    G: 6'6 241 Admiral Schofield: 18.0 ppg (3ptFG%: 44.5%; , 6.2 reb/g
    F 6'7 236 Grant Williams: 18.8 ppg (FT%:80%), 7.8 reb/g, 3.9 apg
    C: 6'11 215 Kyle Alexander: 10.6 ppg, 8.1 reb/g

    #3 Tennessee averages 86 ppg (FG% 51.4%; FT% 74%).
    UT (#5) in KP rating: #4 AdjO, #19 AdjD.
    Best Wins: #1 Gonzaga, Louisville, Ga Tech, Memphis, Wake Forrest - Only loss to #2 Kansas.
    SEC wins: 96-50 over Georgia; 87-63 over Missouri.

    Florida averages a pedestrian 70 ppg (FG% 43.1%; FT% 66.3%).
    UF (#21) in KP rating: #87 AdjO, #5 AdjD.
    Best wins: Butler, Arkansas, West Virginia & Stanford.

    For a win, Florida's defense will have to hold the vols to the 60s/70s or less while scoring in the 70s themselves! Good luck because Tennessee has been blasting SEC teams so far.

    In all of Florida losses, the Gators scored the following:
    60, 60, 54, 59, 69. For Florida to have any chance, they will have to pick up their scoring and their consistency overall.
     
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  6. RD_gator

    RD_gator GC Hall of Fame

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    Only Georgia Tech held Tennessee to the 60s. The rest of the games are in the 80s or higher. Florida will need to do something similar.
     
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  7. gatorbogey

    gatorbogey Premium Member

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    Using Simple math.
    UT has gone from 96 to 87 in SEC games. A difference of 9. Next game in the series is 78.
    UT has allowed 50 then 63, an increase of 13. Next in the series is 76.
    Homecourt is 3 points.
    Gators win 76 to 75!
     
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  8. RD_gator

    RD_gator GC Hall of Fame

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    Florida (#21 kp; 87 AdjO, #5 AdjD) has a much better defense than either Georgia (#90 kp; 134 AdjO, 78 AdjD) or Missouri (#84 kp; 118 AdjO, 72 - AdjD) and slightly better offense. So, we have the advantage of these metrics going for Florida at least plus the home-court advantage in this game, lol.


    I would like to see Florida's offense operating with better ball movement while hunting for good, open shots. Rather than forcing a player to get going, the shots taken should happen in the flow of the offense. Florida should be able to play better offense than what they have shown lately.

    I am also assuming that Florida will continue to play stellar defense with their zone-trapping.
     
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  9. GatorLurker

    GatorLurker GC Hall of Fame

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    Georgia Tech is a decent defensive team and horrible on offense.

    In the Kansas game (another solid defensive squad) they only got out of the 60's and to 81 points because of OT. At the end of regulation UT had just 69 points.

    UF has the D to hold UT to something in the 60's, but do they have enough O to get there themselves? Methinks they will have to generate some live ball steals to score enough to pull this out. UT is too good in their half court D for this to favor us in a grinder. We have shown the ability to cause open court turnovers, but most of the time it is a ball out of bounds. If only we could make those turnovers into live ball turnovers ...

    Or shoot lights out with a hand in our face.
     
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  10. GatorPlanet

    GatorPlanet GC Hall of Fame

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    The Rowdies will have a hard-on tomorrow night. Look for the upset.
     
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  11. GatorLurker

    GatorLurker GC Hall of Fame

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    So maybe don't flip the camera?
     
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  12. GatorLurker

    GatorLurker GC Hall of Fame

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    Maybe the Gators can flip the script. Who will be our Dane Bradshaw?
     
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  13. dadx4

    dadx4 GC Hall of Fame

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    Fixed it for you. : )
     
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  14. number1

    number1 GC Hall of Fame

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    Let's be even more specific. If we shoot well for the entire game and not have an 8-minute scoring drought, we win.
     
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  15. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl GC Hall of Fame

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    Wouldn't be surprised. UT was only -3 yesterday and it's down to 2.5 at the moment. A win today might provide the jolt this team needs to get out of its slumber.
     
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  16. iam4uf

    iam4uf GC Hall of Fame

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    Turn the corner game where the players finally realize how dd offense works & play aggressively. Our defense frustrates UT into turnovers. UF wins a close game & people panic that we'll lose Mike White.
     
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  17. SJB612

    SJB612 GC Hall of Fame

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    I don't think we can even afford a 3 minute scoring drought in this game. We haven't played a team that can score like UT in the paint. I fear they will shred our D. Plus they have the depth to really get after it defensively and not worry about foul trouble, which spells trouble for us. I don't think this one will be that close, but I'll sure watch anyway.
     
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  18. gatormonk

    gatormonk GC Hall of Fame

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    Don't get early fouls and hit free throws.