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Cratering Poll Numbers

Discussion in 'GatorNana's Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by citygator, Jun 24, 2020.

  1. RIP

    RIP VIP Member

    6,938
    2,053
    1,188
    Feb 2, 2015
    Yeah I'm from Clay and all of my family lives there. They are about 99% die hard red. I technically live in Clay but most of my life happens in Duval (when not socially distancing from the world).
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  2. rivergator

    rivergator Too Hot Mod Moderator

    31,775
    1,272
    1,893
    Apr 8, 2007
    According to the NYT map, in the Middleburg zip code, Trump donors outnumber Biden donors more than 3 to 1.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  3. GatorJMDZ

    GatorJMDZ gatorjack VIP Member

    19,654
    1,535
    838
    Apr 3, 2007
    An absolute must watch:

     
    Last edited: Jul 30, 2020
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  4. VAg8r1

    VAg8r1 GC Hall of Fame

    8,950
    860
    1,353
    Apr 8, 2007
    Absolutely. Hillary Clinton lost in 2016 because normally Democratic voters stayed home or voted third party, especially in the rust belt states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, all of which Trump won by a margin of well under one percent. If turnout in those states, especially among minorities and younger voters was the same in 2016 as it was in 2008 and 2012, Hillary would be in the White House and Trump would have his own show on Fox News. In 2018, Democratic turnout for a midterm was the highest it's been since 1974.
    Registered Voters Who Stayed Home Probably Cost Clinton The Election
    4.4 million 2012 Obama voters stayed home in 2016 — more than a third of them black
    2018 voter turnout rose dramatically for groups favoring Democrats, census confirms
    2018’s record-setting voter turnout, in one chart

    If nothing else every time Trump speaks he mobilizes Democratic voters. Trump also managed to unintentionally accomplish in 2018 what Hillary Clinton tried to do in 2016 with the result being a complete failure on Hillary's part, flipping educated white suburban women from the Republican Party to the Democrats and if anything that trend will be even more pronounced this November.
     
    Last edited: Jul 30, 2020
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  5. slocala

    slocala VIP Member

    534
    178
    378
    Jan 11, 2009
    Meh. Started funny, but not a big fan of making fun of other people like their ideals are dumb. Not a way to bring someone over. Also, got low brow at the end.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  6. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

    15,114
    1,174
    788
    Apr 8, 2007
    Agreed, too long, lost focus, not nearly as good as their previous efforts.
     
  7. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

    15,564
    2,389
    1,373
    Apr 3, 2007
  8. Gatorhall

    Gatorhall Premium Member

    2,413
    1,092
    523
    Apr 15, 2007
    North Florida
    Can’t wait till the debates unless Joes peeps cancel them. Trump will eat his lunch.
     
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  9. pkaib01

    pkaib01 Premium Member

    1,399
    268
    313
    Apr 3, 2007
    Only if Biden shows up lathered in ketchup. ;)
     
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  10. BobK89

    BobK89 GC Hall of Fame

    12,284
    523
    708
    Apr 9, 2007
    Tampa, FL
    I agree about Sanders. In 2016 he took about 35% of the primary vote. In 2020, other than Nevada, he took about 35% of the vote. He didn't expand his reach and was not part of a "movement" that really moved the needle, IMO.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
  11. RIP

    RIP VIP Member

    6,938
    2,053
    1,188
    Feb 2, 2015
    I hate you for burning this image into my brain.
     
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  12. leftcoastgator

    leftcoastgator Ambivalent Zealot Premium Member

    1,988
    368
    293
    Apr 3, 2007
    Sonoma, CA
    Starring Gator alumnus Stephen Root as the Dad.
     
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  13. tarponbro

    tarponbro GC Legend

    521
    95
    273
    Feb 10, 2016
    "What about Eric?" "Where's Eric? Eric, get your ass in here and vote!!!"
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
  14. channingcrowderhungry

    channingcrowderhungry Premium Member

    6,342
    1,510
    933
    Apr 3, 2007
    Bottom of a pint glass
    Biden is now -170.
     
    • Informative Informative x 2
  15. NavyGator93

    NavyGator93 GC Hall of Fame

    2,114
    874
    538
    Dec 4, 2015
    Georgia
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  16. HallGator

    HallGator Senile Administrator Moderator VIP Member

    53,551
    2,904
    2,508
    Apr 3, 2007
    Outer Limits
    I don't gamble so I have no idea what that means.
     
  17. channingcrowderhungry

    channingcrowderhungry Premium Member

    6,342
    1,510
    933
    Apr 3, 2007
    Bottom of a pint glass
    You would have to wager $170 to win $100.

    If two evenly matched football teams play each other it is generally -110 for each team.

    Edit. In layman's terms when his odds dropped from -140 to -170 it meant Vegas is getting more bets on Biden winning, so they adjusted the payout to less money. Which means Biden is getting more favored as time goes on, though it isn't a runaway.
     
    Last edited: Jul 31, 2020
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  18. citygator

    citygator VIP Member

    4,115
    1,129
    998
    Apr 3, 2007
    Charlotte
    Trump’s “mini-rally” in Florida was full of no bodies. Ha ha. They roped off a bunch of space for adoring fans. No one showed up. Those that did aren’t wearing masks. This was after he started speaking according to several of my sources.

     
  19. pcamera01

    pcamera01 GC Legend

    523
    109
    93
    Jul 21, 2020
    Daily Tracking poll:

    The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 49% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove.

    So for you "whataboutism" people - Obama's approval number on August 4th, 2012 was 45% approval.

    I know you're starting to get nervous :)
     
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  20. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

    15,564
    2,389
    1,373
    Apr 3, 2007
    Lol.

    Donald Trump's favorite pollster was the least accurate in the midterms - CNNPolitics
     
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