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Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by GatorNorth, Feb 25, 2020.

  1. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
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  2. OklahomaGator

    OklahomaGator Jedi Administrator Moderator VIP Member

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    I updated this sheet this morning. You realize how hard hit some states are.

    covid 1.JPG
    covid 2.JPG
     
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  3. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    He told T what he wanted to hear. That is all that matters to T
     
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  4. GatorGuyDallas

    GatorGuyDallas VIP Member

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    Thanks.

    To put the deaths per million number in perspective relative to the 100,000 deaths number - 300 deaths per million get the US to 100,000.

    Spain and Italy are more than half way there. It’s a cumulative number. It doesn’t go down.

    I’m not making any claims with any of the above. I’m putting the chart in the context of the 100,000 number now in the public consciousness.
     
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  5. tilly

    tilly Superhero Mod. Fast witted. Bulletproof posts. Moderator VIP Member

  6. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

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  7. duchen

    duchen VIP Member

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    Read the thread that just was moved over here from Swamp Gas. Posts as late as this last weekend along the same lines as: 1) no worse than H1N1 or the flu; 2) this is politically motivated by the MSM. We can see the real danger of policy motivated by clickbait falsehoods, lies, and non-science based decision making.
     
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  8. g8rjd

    g8rjd GC Hall of Fame

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    Dr. Dix is saying 200,000 would be a success now “if we do things almost perfectly,” which is horrifying.
     
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  9. duchen

    duchen VIP Member

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  10. hockeygator

    hockeygator Freshman

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    so my wife and I were sick in Feb. A lot of the same symptoms and I went to Duke medical and had a strep and Flu test ran. Tested neg for both and was told it was some virus that they don't know what it was. That being said a lot of it lines up with Wuhan flu, I want to have my blood drawn to see if I have the antibodies, if I do I will donate my plasma as much as I can to try to squash this damn thing
     
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  11. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

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    That is an accurate summary of the article.
     
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  12. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

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    An interestingly worded denial. We are not aware of the claims being true, therefore it is false?
     
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  13. pkaib01

    pkaib01 GC Hall of Fame

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    Seems to me that's the administration prepping for claims of success (e.g. moving the goalposts), much like trump's 100K statement yesterday.

    They could create more room by claiming that anything under 2.2MM means they did everything perfectly. Success!
     
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  14. gaterzfan

    gaterzfan GC Hall of Fame

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    It's a helluva deal - the forgiveness can run 70+% of the original loan amount. I'm working with three companies to file applications ASAP. based upon telephone conversations today, the SBA will issue final guidelines within 7-10 days of legislation being passed so hopefully, lenders will begin taking applications this Friday. If you have a small business (or know someone who does) need to get on this. April will be crazy for SBA lenders!!

    Some key parts re business loans:

    SEC. 1102. PAYCHECK PROTECTION PROGRAM.
    ``(F) Participation in the paycheck protection program.--In
    an agreement to participate in a loan on a deferred basis under
    paragraph (36), the participation by the Administration shall
    be 100 percent.''; and
    ``(ii) the term `covered loan' means a loan made under
    this paragraph during the covered period;
    ``(iii) the term `covered period' means the period
    beginning on February 15, 2020 and ending on June 30, 2020;
    ``(viii) the term `payroll costs'--
    ``(I) means--
    ``(aa) the sum of payments of any compensation
    with respect to employees that is a--
    ``(AA) salary, wage, commission, or similar
    compensation;
    ``(BB) payment of cash tip or equivalent;
    ``(CC) payment for vacation, parental,
    family, medical, or sick leave;
    ``(DD) allowance for dismissal or
    separation;
    ``(EE) payment required for the provisions
    of group health care benefits, including
    insurance premiums;
    ``(FF) payment of any retirement benefit;
    or
    ``(GG) payment of State or local tax
    assessed on the compensation of employees; and
    ``(bb) the sum of payments of any compensation
    to or income of a sole proprietor or independent
    contractor that is a wage, commission, income, net
    earnings from self-employment, or similar
    compensation and that is in an amount that is not
    more than $100,000 in 1 year, as prorated for the
    covered period; and
    ``(II) shall not include--
    ``(aa) the compensation of an individual
    employee in excess of an annual salary of $100,000,
    as prorated for the covered period;
    ``(bb) taxes imposed or withheld under chapters
    21, 22, or 24 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986
    during the covered period;
    ``(cc) any compensation of an employee whose
    principal place of residence is outside of the
    United States;
    ``(E) Maximum loan amount.--During the covered period, with
    respect to a covered loan, the maximum loan amount shall be the
    lesser of--
    ``(i)(I) the sum of--
    ``(aa) the product obtained by multiplying--
    ``(AA) the average total monthly payments by
    the applicant for payroll costs incurred during the
    1-year period before the date on which the loan is
    made, except that, in the case of an applicant that
    is seasonal employer, as determined by the
    Administrator, the average total monthly payments
    for payroll shall be for the 12-week period
    beginning February 15, 2019, or at the election of
    the eligible recipient, March 1, 2019, and ending
    June 30, 2019; by
    ``(BB) 2.5; and
    ``(bb) the outstanding amount of a loan under
    subsection (b)(2) that was made during the period
    beginning on January 31, 2020 and ending on the date on
    which covered loans are made available to be refinanced
    under the covered loan; or
    ``(ii) Delegated authority.--
    ``(I) In general.--For purposes of making covered
    loans for the purposes described in clause (i), a
    lender approved to make loans under this subsection
    shall be deemed to have been delegated authority by the
    Administrator to make and approve covered loans,
    subject to the provisions of this paragraph.
    ``(II) Considerations.--In evaluating the
    eligibility of a borrower for a covered loan with the
    terms described in this paragraph, a lender shall
    consider whether the borrower--
    ``(aa) was in operation on February 15, 2020;
    and
    ``(bb)(AA) had employees for whom the borrower
    paid salaries and payroll taxes; or
    ``(BB) paid independent contractors, as
    reported on a Form 1099-MISC.




    SEC. 1106. LOAN FORGIVENESS.
    (a) Definitions.--In this section--
    (1) the term ``covered loan'' means a loan guaranteed under
    paragraph (36) of section 7(a) of the Small Business Act (15 U.S.C.
    636(a)), as added by section 1102;
    (2) the term ``covered mortgage obligation'' means any
    indebtedness or debt instrument incurred in the ordinary course of
    business that--
    (A) is a liability of the borrower;
    (B) is a mortgage on real or personal property; and
    (C) was incurred before February 15, 2020;
    (3) the term ``covered period'' means the 8-week period
    beginning on the date of the origination of a covered loan;
    (4) the term ``covered rent obligation'' means rent obligated
    under a leasing agreement in force before February 15, 2020;
    (5) the term ``covered utility payment'' means payment for a
    service for the distribution of electricity, gas, water,
    transportation, telephone, or internet access for which service
    began before February 15, 2020;
    (6) the term ``eligible recipient'' means the recipient of a
    covered loan;
    (7) the term ``expected forgiveness amount'' means the amount
    of principal that a lender reasonably expects a borrower to expend
    during the covered period on the sum of any--
    (A) payroll costs;
    (B) payments of interest on any covered mortgage obligation
    (which shall not include any prepayment of or payment of
    principal on a covered mortgage obligation);
    (C) payments on any covered rent obligation; and
    (D) covered utility payments; and
    (8) the term ``payroll costs'' has the meaning given that term
    in paragraph (36) of section 7(a) of the Small Business Act (15
    U.S.C. 636(a)), as added by section 1102 of this Act.
    (b) Forgiveness.--An eligible recipient shall be eligible for
    forgiveness of indebtedness on a covered loan in an amount equal to the
    sum of the following costs incurred and payments made during the
    covered period:
    (1) Payroll costs.
    (2) Any payment of interest on any covered mortgage obligation
    (which shall not include any prepayment of or payment of principal
    on a covered mortgage obligation).
    (3) Any payment on any covered rent obligation.
    (4) Any covered utility payment.
    (c) Treatment of Amounts Forgiven.--
    (1) In general.--Amounts which have been forgiven under this
    section shall be considered canceled indebtedness by a lender
    authorized under section 7(a) of the Small Business Act (15 U.S.C.
    636(a)).
    (d) Limits on Amount of Forgiveness.--
    (1) Amount may not exceed principal.--The amount of loan
    forgiveness under this section shall not exceed the principal
    amount of the financing made available under the applicable covered
    loan.
    (2) Reduction based on reduction in number of employees.--
    (A) In general.--The amount of loan forgiveness under this
    section shall be reduced, but not increased, by multiplying the
    amount described in subsection (b) by the quotient obtained by
    dividing--
    (i) the average number of full-time equivalent
    employees per month employed by the eligible recipient
    during the covered period; by
    (ii)(I) at the election of the borrower--
    (aa) the average number of full-time equivalent
    employees per month employed by the eligible recipient
    during the period beginning on February 15, 2019 and
    ending on June 30, 2019; or
    (bb) the average number of full-time equivalent
    employees per month employed by the eligible recipient
    during the period beginning on January 1, 2020 and
    ending on February 29, 2020; or
    (B) Calculation of average number of employees.--For
    purposes of subparagraph (A), the average number of full-time
    equivalent employees shall be determined by calculating the
    average number of full-time equivalent employees for each pay
    period falling within a month.
    (3) Reduction relating to salary and wages.--
    (A) In general.--The amount of loan forgiveness under this
    section shall be reduced by the amount of any reduction in
    total salary or wages of any employee described in subparagraph
    (B) during the covered period that is in excess of 25 percent
    of the total salary or wages of the employee during the most
    recent full quarter during which the employee was employed
    before the covered period.
    (B) Employees described.--An employee described in this
    subparagraph is any employee who did not receive, during any
    single pay period during 2019, wages or salary at an annualized
    rate of pay in an amount more than $100,000.
    (4) Tipped workers.--An eligible recipient with tipped
    employees described in section 3(m)(2)(A) of the Fair Labor
    Standards Act of 1938 (29 U.S.C. 203(m)(2)(A)) may receive
    forgiveness for additional wages paid to those employees.
    (5) Exemption for re-hires.--
    (A) In general.--In a circumstance described in
    subparagraph (B), the amount of loan forgiveness under this
    section shall be determined without regard to a reduction in
    the number of full-time equivalent employees of an eligible
    recipient or a reduction in the salary of 1 or more employees
    of the eligible recipient, as applicable, during the period
    beginning on February 15, 2020 and ending on the date that is
    30 days after the date of enactment of this Act.
    (B) Circumstances.--A circumstance described in this
    subparagraph is a circumstance--
    (i) in which--
    (I) during the period beginning on February 15,
    2020 and ending on the date that is 30 days after the
    date of enactment of this Act, there is a reduction, as
    compared to February 15, 2020, in the number of full-
    time equivalent employees of an eligible recipient; and
    (II) not later than June 30, 2020, the eligible
    employer has eliminated the reduction in the number of
    full-time equivalent employees;
    (ii) in which--
    (I) during the period beginning on February 15,
    2020 and ending on the date that is 30 days after the
    date of enactment of this Act, there is a reduction, as
    compared to February 15, 2020, in the salary or wages
    of 1 or more employees of the eligible recipient; and
    (II) not later than June 30, 2020, the eligible
    employer has eliminated the reduction in the salary or
    wages of such employees; or
    (iii) in which the events described in clause (i) and
    (ii) occur.
     
  15. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

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    The Federalist’s Dangerous Coronavirus Trutherism - The Bulwark

     
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  16. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    upload_2020-3-30_12-43-34.png

    A bit of positive news.
     
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  17. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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    Global deaths have ticked up to 19% of Closed cases. Possible good news is that it took roughly 20 more hours that it did to go from 17 to 18% Hope that trend continues.

    CLOSED CASES
    194,926
    Cases which had an outcome:

    158,700 (81%)
    Recovered / Discharged

    36,226 (19%)
    Deaths
     
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  18. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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    NY new numbers

    66497 positive
    9517 currently in hospital
    2352 in ICU
    4204 discharged from hospital (+632)
     
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  19. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    Agreed. We are putting our numbers together now. Still looking for affirmative guidance if participating in the PPP program excludes you from the EIDL program. Would like to be able to refi some debt under the EIDL program if possible
     
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