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Biden losing Florida

Discussion in 'GatorNana's Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by LouisvilleGator, Oct 30, 2020.

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  1. surfn1080

    surfn1080 GC Hall of Fame

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    He has a far higher approval rating with pubs as of Oct than he did with the party in Oct 2016.

    Not sure I see your reasoning there.
     
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  2. GatorGuyDallas

    GatorGuyDallas VIP Member

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    Approval rating isn’t voting. We’ll find out in a few days
     
  3. surfn1080

    surfn1080 GC Hall of Fame

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    It’s generally an indicator. I highly doubt he loses R votes with a much higher rating.

    You generally vote for someone you approve...
     
  4. GatorRade

    GatorRade Rad Scientist Premium Member

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    These stats are also based on self identification and there are some that have found that fewer are identifying as republicans since Trump took over. Tough to know what it all means.
     
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  5. GatorGuyDallas

    GatorGuyDallas VIP Member

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    We’ll find out Tuesday.
     
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  6. HallGator

    HallGator Senile Administrator Moderator VIP Member

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    We all need to keep in mind that NPAs are going to have a large bearing on a close election.
     
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  7. bakaduin

    bakaduin GC Hall of Fame

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    I think you'd find that is because many of the more moderate Republicans don't identify as Republican anymore (and those who still do are strongly pro-Trump).
    As an example, I voted down ballot Republican in 04, 08, and 12. In 16 I voted for Gary Johnson and Republican for the remainder. I am a registered Republican and voted down ballot democrat for this election. I am not alone.
     
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  8. surfn1080

    surfn1080 GC Hall of Fame

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    You could say that. But then you would have to find out why pub registrations have outpaced Dems the past 2 election cycles.
    My sister is a independent voting Trump.
    My grandpa who immigrated here in 1951 and a life long Dem is voting Trump.

    The most shocking is my mom. A Chicago lady and always a Dem will not vote this year. She is generally what you call a supervoter. But she definitely can’t vote Trump but feels like the Dem party has gone way to far left. She also heavily questions Biden’s past racist comments and mental health.
    Pretty much everyone else in my family who lives in FL are pubs voting Trump.

    I voted Obama in 08, Romney in 12, and didn’t vote 16. The Dem party is far from what they were in 08. I dislike Trumps twitting and how he talks sometimes but his policies are what is making me vote for him in 2020.
     
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  9. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    Anyone thinking Biden is going to win Florida should go ahead and lay some cash down on him. Current odds are heavily in Trumps favor to win Florida.
    upload_2020-11-1_20-37-52.png

    So unless you think Vegas is giving away money then let’s stop with the Biden is winning Florida hope.
     
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  10. LouisvilleGator

    LouisvilleGator GC Hall of Fame

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    Which site is this? Curious to know what the odds are for NC and AZ as well.
     
  11. GatorGuyDallas

    GatorGuyDallas VIP Member

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    How about we let folks vote and see how it plays out. Might not go blue. But you never know.
     
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  12. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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    Elections are not decided by Vegas betters ...
     
  13. surfn1080

    surfn1080 GC Hall of Fame

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    ya the odds here are odd.

    Trump has a much better chance at NC over AZ.

    the lines are so close it’s virtually 50/50 for FL, AZ, NC.

    He wins FL and NC IMO. Not sure about AZ.
     
  14. gtr2x

    gtr2x GC Hall of Fame

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    Don't think vegas is infallible, but since you brought them into it......one could make the same statement nationally.
    Anybody that thinks trump will be reelected should run out to Vegas and bet the house. You will get great odds, as good or better than Biden in Fla.

    So unless you think vegas is giving away money, let's stop with this trump is getting reelected hope.:p
     
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  15. LouisvilleGator

    LouisvilleGator GC Hall of Fame

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    If Trump wins FL and NC, it's going to be a long night for Biden. After seeing the poll out of Iowa and the fact that 75% of registered African-American voters have yet to vote in PA, fat chance Biden runs the PA, MI, WI, MN table. If Trump wins FL, NC and AZ, then it's 2016 all over again.
     
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  16. Nawlens Gator

    Nawlens Gator GC Hall of Fame

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    A vote for Biden, is a vote for the CCP.
     
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  17. dangolegators

    dangolegators GC Hall of Fame

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    This sounded really really bad, like there's no way Biden can win PA because only 25% of Black voters have voted so far. So I looked up the PA numbers. PA has about 9.1 million registered voters and 2.4 million have voted so far. So that means about 74% of all registered voters have yet to vote in PA. So I think you are being taken advantage of by whatever right wing web site you're getting your numbers from.
     
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  18. GatorJMDZ

    GatorJMDZ gatorjack VIP Member

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    You obviously don't understand the concept of odds in a betting situation and what they are designed to accomplish.
     
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  19. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    Understand them quite well. Got thru college that way. But you keep thinking that. Go get those good odds on Biden and let me know how that turns out on Wednesday.
     
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  20. nolancarey

    nolancarey GC Hall of Fame

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    Seems reductive.
     
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