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Best future defenses

Discussion in 'RayGator's Swamp Gas' started by ThePlayer, May 15, 2018.

  1. ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

    Apr 3, 2007
    Which teams will have the best defenses over the next three years?

    11. Florida Gators

    2017 future defense ranking: 10

    Scouting the Gators: Dan Mullen must accomplish what the past two Florida coaches could not: Score more points and upgrade the quarterback position. But if Mullen can build on what Will Muschamp and Jim McElwain did on defense, the Gators should be in good shape. Florida has had a defender selected in the first round of the past six NFL drafts, and 10 defenders in the first three rounds of the past three drafts. "Florida was really good on defense until stuff started getting away from them and they couldn't score points," an SEC offensive coordinator said of the 2017 team. "Their front four was really athletic. They were salty."

    Although 2018 will be a year of transition, Florida has a nice mix of experience (rush end Cece Jefferson, end Jabari Zuniga, linebacker David Reese, defensive back Chauncey Gardner-Johnson) and youth (sophomore cornerbacks Marco Wilson and CJ Henderson). The secondary looks like a long-term strength as most and possibly all key contributors return for 2019, and top-30 recruit Justin Watkins would add to the mix if he ends up playing cornerback. Florida is looking for additional playmakers up front alongside Jefferson and Zuniga, and Antonneous Clayton, ESPN's No. 2 end and No. 10 overall player in the 2016 class, could be primed for a big season.
    • Like Like x 2
  2. ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

    Apr 3, 2007
    • Informative Informative x 1
    • Optimistic Optimistic x 1
  3. gtr2x

    gtr2x GC Hall of Fame

    Aug 21, 2007
    Aggies? Don't buy it.
    • Agree Agree x 1
  4. ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

    Apr 3, 2007
    Hate to say this....BUT
    Don't mess with Texas....or what Bimbo can do there.
    • Optimistic Optimistic x 1
  5. themistocles

    themistocles VIP Member

    Apr 8, 2007
    Temple Terrace, FL
    You know, it really depends on what you look at when you're evaluating Defenses, just like with everything else.

    A major reason that Saban and Smart were so good at Alabama was their Red Zone Effectiveness on both Offense and Defense. The key to that is the proportion of Red Zone Series that end either in a TD or a TD given up. When the O TD percentage is high and the D TD percentage is low, you're gonna win most of your games, unless you give up a ton of opportunities, or long TDs, which good teams tend not to do. Total yards given up is relatively meaningless if the D Red Zone TD percentage given up is 80% or so. The D is substantially more important than O in this case also, as statistics show every year. The national leaders all have Good Defenses.

    The Gators were effective on offense when they entered the Red Zone last year, scoring 97% of the time (PINERIO), with a decent TD percentage of 68% compared with the average of 61%. The Gator's basic problem was a lack of attempts, averageing 25% below the national average (2.8 vs the average 3.7 per game). For comparison realize that's near UCF's (70%, Clemson's (73%), Alabama's (68%), OSU's (66%), etc. averages were all near UF's. FSU's average was 3.0 atts per game.

    On Defense, despite how it looked from the Stands, the Gators were not horrible, merely somewhat average rather than being exceptional as has been historical recently. Last year, the Gators ranked 40th regarding the average number of Red Zone attempts given up, and around 70th regarding percentage of TD's given up (60%). Only 39 Teams nationally averaged giving up 55% or fewer or TDs.

    Of course, this is merely one lone facet of an extremely complex phenomenon with is Defensive Analysis. An important facet, but only one among many.
  6. eastowest

    eastowest GC Hall of Fame

    May 13, 2007
    Pruitt should make UT's Def. better.