Lets not forget all the people who already had it that are being vaccinated, we will likely reach herd immunity well before July 1. A Johns Hopkins professor predicts the US will reach herd immunity by April, but many experts aren't so optimistic (msn.com) In an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal, Johns Hopkins professor Martin Makary wrote that COVID-19 would be "mostly gone" in the US by April. Read the article, his logic makes sense, we will see if he is right. So far Florida, by vaccinating the highest risk first has made dramatic improvements in death rates and hospitalizations. I expect this to continue. Despite having fully open schools for 6+months with sports allowed(the horror).