Yeah, she's done in AZ. [MEDIA]
R crossover in Arizona will be less than 9 this year. R's in Arizona got burned by immigration and inflation. In fact, I would not be surprised...
Source for Philadelphia county turnout today: x.com
Maricopa county went 50 to 48 for Biden in 2020. The GOP already have a 118,000~ vote firewall in Maricopa going into today.
Yikes... [MEDIA]
Given the GOP's efforts in early voting, it makes sense there would be less GOP voters today, which will lift the Dem % compared to 2022. What's...
In a game of inches, this data is illuminating, to say the least. I remind everyone Trump only needs to flip 6,000~ votes in GA, 5,500~ in AZ and...
They do in Georgia.
Driving through rural PA this morning and the line was several miles long stretching into the adjacent county, which is also quite rural. ;)
RCP includes so-called outliers. I believe it is helpful to some degree to include them. Most trusted sources aren't going to have outliers that...
Dem mail in return rate in Philadelphia county, PA: 79.8% :oops:
Final PA mail in/absentee numbers: Dems 1,037,783 GOP 618,205 Dem firewall: 419,578 (better than I predicted for Dems) However, return rate...
The issue is, I don't see any "respectable" polling that shows Trump is +30 in Ohio, for example. The freakish outliers always tend to favor the...
I imagine the 11 out of 15 elections prior to the 1930's would have seen better results with the data we have available today and the speed at...
Billions of dollars being wagered by rich data analysis nerds is a useless measure?
It's 63/37 now on Poly.
My thesis is the turnout. I think GOP will still dominate election day voting. Perhaps by not as much as previous cycles, but I won't accept...
It is quite possible Wisconsin could be the tipping point at which the networks call the race and not PA: [ATTACH]
Polymarket now 62-38 Trump. Tick tock, tick tock.
It is telling you all are talking about bunk one-off polls from NH showing Harris +28, as opposed to polling data that actually matter.
