The “who is this pollster amd are they even real?” Phase is here. [MEDIA] [MEDIA]
Could be, or it could also be a strategy. Young folks disproportionately vote late and want a reason to turn out, so save that til the night...
Trump is over performing the R senate candidates all across the country. Doesn’t make sense to me either, but it’s real.
Haha, In the end Ralston went with Harris by .3 percent. Easy for him to be wrong though with a margin that tight. Editor Jon Ralston’s 2024...
If the Dems want one last pick me up before tomorrow, here you go. One poll and all… [MEDIA]
Again, here is Selzer’s history in the last 3 elections. She is the DSM register poll in these....
Either Selzer and the more nonpartisan polls will be right, or we still haven’t learned anything polling wise from 2020. It’s a coin flip for me.
Trump is dangerous for American democracy, terrible for civil discourse, too old to be president, and has ideas that would set women and...
He is a smart guy so it should be taken seriously, but the fact that republicans are voting early is more a sign of Trump telling them to after...
Problem is, it wouldn’t get him out of the NY or GA cases.
This is the weird part to me. Not that he thinks NC is important, it clearly is. But he can’t win without one of the rust belt states, so he needs...
Maybe they have a turnout issue this year, maybe they don’t. We will see in the next day or two. But many Dems only voted early in 2020 because of...
I did a Quick Look and saw AAs are underperforming by about 2 percent of the overall electorate in GA and NC compared to how the NYT sampled them...
Trump is better for Netanyahu, the conservatives in Israel and their supporters here. But long term he’s not better for Israel as a whole. JMO.
Guess this was the last emotional turn I was talking about the other day. Dems are back to freaking out. It really is funny to watch.
His final prediction is coming today, I think he is waiting for the next mail drop, one didn’t come in over the weekend. The drop today could be a...
lol, there is clearly some herding and CYA’ing here, but imagine if this were close to accurate? We will still be here talking about who won in a...
On the subject of biased pollsters. This guy apparently had integrity, but how many don’t? [MEDIA]
Nate Silver flipped back to Harris today. 270 EVs so still a complete tossup. The economist flipped in the last few days, 538 still has Trump 53.46.
Trafalgar herding towards the middle tonight, they have a tie in MI and Harris up 1 in WI.
