Update on where NV stands: [MEDIA]
I lost $15 on Gavin Newsome being the Democratic nominee in ‘24. I didn’t think Biden would make it to election day but was wrong on the...
I’ve heard that pollsters have added that question to screen for the shy Trump voter effect. I’m just not convinced that it is as relevant in ‘24...
So Jon Ralston has been saying if R’s maintain their lead in early voting of around 4.5%, then Democrats are in trouble in NV. Today is the final...
It will be interesting to read after the election is over, what was really going on behind the scenes. I'll assume we will get to find out how...
BTW, more Republicans are not voting early in PA this year. They are some where between 30k to 80k votes below where they were in '20. 2024 - »...
I'll say the same think I did about the GDP growth numbers: Everyone already has determined their view of the economy by this point. This number...
Harris. 270-268. The Blue Wall holds.
I do not think anyone really knows what is going on at this point. [MEDIA]
FYI, I'm asking this because I see some Republican statisticians/number crunchers looking at the early vote and getting very confident. I do not...
I'm sorry but why are you bringing up people who are not registered to vote? I just do not get that. We are talking about registered but low...
So the number I have seen is that Democratic early voting is down in PA by around 850k votes from '20 to '24. The '20 election in PA was decided...
So what do you make of the lower Democratic turnout in PA in '24 versus '20?
That is not necessary true. It could also mean that Republicans have banked more votes early than they have in the past, which gives the Trump...
According to that NBC article, PA does track by gender. You think that more Democrats are going to show up on election day to vote in person that...
So the thinking is that young women make up more of the roughly 400k firewall Democrats have developed in early voting and there will be a much...
That is a great number for the economy. I just think everyone has already determined their view on the economy at this point and that number is...
What did Bevin say? I cannot find anything on it.
You are absolutely correct! :)
I’m a little skeptical of your thesis that early voting is somehow influencing the methodology of polling firms. While it is possible, I don’t...
