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Top meteorologists sound ‘alarm bells’ on worrying outlook for 2024 hurricane season

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by studegator, Feb 22, 2024.

  1. AgingGator

    AgingGator GC Hall of Fame

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    It’s not, but they don’t get clicks by saying nothing or telling people that you really don’t know.
     
  2. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

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    • Informative Informative x 3
  3. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

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    From the link: "Taking an average of the season’s number of storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes when compared to the forecast, NOAA was off by 2.47 storms in the last 11 years, from 2010 to 2020."

    Those 11 years saw an average of 16.8 storms per year, so that's 14.7% margin of error.

    Take out the high and low outliers (2010 was off by 1 / 2020 was off by 14), and they were under 2 storms a year off - or ~12%

    yes - I'm stuck in a meaningless meeting.
     
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  4. ValdostaGatorFan

    ValdostaGatorFan GC Hall of Fame

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    I'm not sure you're going to meet many leftists that are pro-clearcutting forests. We are talking about "tree-huggers," right?
     
  5. rivergator

    rivergator Too Hot Mod Moderator VIP Member

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    upload_2024-6-1_6-38-54.png
     
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  6. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

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  7. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    oddly, in this case, cutting pollution led to extra warming

    Cutting pollution from the shipping industry accidentally increased global warming, study suggests | Live Science

    The shipping industry's attempt to reduce air pollution has inadvertently accelerated global warming in the short term and contributed to record-breaking sea temperatures, according to a new climate model.

    Recent global shipping regulations slashed the sulfur dioxide emissions from cargo ships by a dramatic 80%. But this rapid reduction in sulfur pollution may have "created an inadvertent geoengineering termination shock with global impact," a new study has suggested.

    "The warming effect is consistent with the recent[ly] observed strong warming in 2023 and [is] expected to make the 2020s anomalously warm," the researchers wrote. The warming is equivalent in magnitude to "80% of the measured increase in planetary heat uptake since 2020."
     
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  8. jeffbrig

    jeffbrig GC Hall of Fame

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    It's all good guys. DeSantis has banned climate change, so we can ignore the abnormally high water temperatures and collectively stick our heads back in the sand.
     
  9. AgingGator

    AgingGator GC Hall of Fame

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    Also a couple of extension cords. He may need to put the big fans a little further away from the power outlets for better video
     
  10. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    Get that man a sharpie and we will all be safe.
     
  11. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    I’m guessing Sulfur Dioxide reflects sunlight so less has let more sunlight in?
     
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  12. Spurffelbow833

    Spurffelbow833 GC Hall of Fame

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    Since global warming is a threat to individual home ownership via loss of insurance after all these superstorms, I find it hard to believe that the powers that be are interested in slowing or stopping it. That would delay their buying up all the property and herding us into rental plantations.
     
    Last edited: Jun 3, 2024