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Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by GatorNorth, Feb 25, 2020.

  1. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    I said 50-60k is a fair number. It's not made up data. Alternative facts LOL. You mean charts showing masks don't eradicate Covid like some say? Or showing REAL death reports showing covid on there? Yeah, that's crazy all right.
     
  2. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

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    My father's death certificate lists multisystem failure as his main cause of death with the underlying condition that caused the multisystem failure on line b. Am I lying if I say that he died of the disease? Almost nobody would claim that. But here we are.
     
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  3. tilly

    tilly Superhero Mod. Fast witted. Bulletproof posts. Moderator VIP Member

    In fairness Exiled doesn't spend a lot of time ranting around here. I think it is just a large gulf between POV's here and it may be years before we really know the truth about numbers.
     
  4. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

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    Implicitly equating numbers collected from the standard death reporting procedures that we have used for deaths for all forms for decades with some guy making up estimates that sound better is the problem.
     
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  5. tilly

    tilly Superhero Mod. Fast witted. Bulletproof posts. Moderator VIP Member

    First, So sorry for your loss and anyone else hurt by this disease.
    Second, I almost wonder if this should open the door to two categories.

    Perhaps we should have a number where Covid is the direct cause and a second stating where covid is a secondary cause. Perhaps lumping them together is not the best way to get the truth out. I feel that this issue has driven a wedge between otherwise smart people in our country. It has caused distrust.

    I don't know. Just a thought.
     
  6. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    Really, and those reported deaths were off 20-30% before Covid and now all of a sudden we think it will improve? Yeah. Keep playing politics while the grown ups use logic and reason. Can't think of another reason why you blindly believe the reported numbers like they are gospel.
     
  7. gator_lawyer

    gator_lawyer VIP Member

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    Nope. I'm ignoring people who are trolling or aren't able to have a mature conversation.
     
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  8. gator_lawyer

    gator_lawyer VIP Member

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    That's a lot of effort to placate bad faith actors. Pass.
     
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  9. OaktownGator

    OaktownGator Guardian of the GC Galaxy

    Apr 3, 2007
    I may have quoted the wrong post. Not sure. But what I was responding to was assertions on over counting COVID cases because they are really something else (heart disease, cancer, etc).

    There may be over counting in some cases. Clearly there is under counting going on as well.

    Excess deaths in the USA are a good deal higher than the COVID death numbers even though there are fewer traffic related fatalities than normal.
     
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  10. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    Absolutely. As well as having a huge increase in Alzheimer's and dementia deaths as well as suicide and drug and alcohol deaths from depression are up. I guess you forgot to mention those...
     
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  11. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

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    As a note @tilly, this is why people think he is trolling and are blocking him.
     
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  12. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

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    Trump: Coronavirus “Affects Virtually Nobody” (Other Than the 200,000 It Has Killed)

     
  13. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    upload_2020-9-22_14-15-9.png

    Here's you making up crap again. Oops. I posted the link showing 20-30% of death certificates were wrong before covid. And you are defending that LOL. Sounds like you are the troll. You won't take charts showing your BS peer reviewed studies are full of crap. Not my problem.
     
  14. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

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    You recognize that he's basing his arguments off of fantasy numbers, but then call me out and say, "he's just fighting data with data."? You see the issue with that, don't you?

    Yes, it is hard to wrap our minds around 200K dead and counting. It's horrific, heartbreaking, tragic, etc. Being sad doesn't change reality.
     
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  15. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

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    Exhibit B, @tilly.

    BTW, for those that are interested, people should never equate a 20-30% random error with a claim of an over 70% systematic error. The argument is that because sometimes doctors list a wrong cause mostly due to mistakes and/or laziness, they must be systematically claiming the wrong cause of death for a purpose is absurd on its face.

    Trying to lower the random error rate seems like a good cause. It just has nothing to do with our covid death rates, since it means that errors would also likely cause Covid deaths not to be listed as Covid deaths. There is no evidence in that of systematic errors.
     
    Last edited: Sep 22, 2020
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  16. GatorGuyDallas

    GatorGuyDallas VIP Member

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    In the case of this conversation some of his "data" is not data. It is assumptions and speculation.
     
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  17. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

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    Did you know that every time Nicholas Cage makes a film more people drown in swimming pools? It's true!

    Making up stuff is fun.
     
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  18. OaktownGator

    OaktownGator Guardian of the GC Galaxy

    Apr 3, 2007
    They should all be recognized. Fair point.

    Do we have more excess deaths related to suicide, drug abuse and Alzheimers than we have reduction in traffic fatalities?

    Regardless, the primary factor in excess deaths here is still the pandemic. A more effective and much more timely response to it would have reduced all of those sources of death.
     
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  19. tilly

    tilly Superhero Mod. Fast witted. Bulletproof posts. Moderator VIP Member

    1. Wasn't intending to "call you out" at all.
    2. We don't really know what the reality is. That is the point. It is OK to admit that and STILL recognize the terrible fight we are up against here.
     
  20. tilly

    tilly Superhero Mod. Fast witted. Bulletproof posts. Moderator VIP Member

    But the actual graphs that he has shown are real data. Some are glossing over that as well.