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Projected Field - Latest: BA (05/14/2025)

Discussion in 'GatorGrowl's Diamond Gators' started by WESGATORS, Apr 22, 2025.

  1. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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  2. neutrino_boi

    neutrino_boi GC Legend

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  3. WESGATORS

    WESGATORS Moderator VIP Member

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  4. ocalaman

    ocalaman GC Hall of Fame

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    The USF loss Tuesday was our worst loss of the season. But beating #1 Texas in Austin Friday night was our best win of the year. With 12 SEC wins, the #4 SOS and now #16 RPI, with an ELO of #9 (according to Warren Nolan live), I think we're now a lock for an NCAA bid. With 5 games left, all against Quad 1 teams, we have a legit chance to be a Regional host. Just need to keep winning as many as we can.
     
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  5. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    We are basically down to 2- 4 host spots left.. RPI T12 are all locks IMO(vols may need couple more Ws)
    Then you throw couple west teams in there.. Irvine, Oregon, UCla. guessing 2 of the 3. So down to 2 spots. Oh and WVU , down to 23 rpi but have been 'safe' host per media.

    Which leaves sec wise..Bama(13 rpi) done unless win UGa series IMO.. Only 3 series wins, 1 is Mizz. So eliminate them most likely

    Rebs. 17 rpi 14 sec wins.. 4 sries wins ,one v Mizz, and a series loss to SC..Probably need to win today, and the AU series

    UF. have to get to 15 minimum IMO. ie win last 2 series

    OU. now 24 rpi, 13 wins, host Texas to finish.

    If one of those 4 sec teams wins last 2 series they get last spot(or 2) IMO, which makes 8 sec host.. just running out of spots for any more sec. doubt they go to 9 w/out real good reason/resume

    non sec teams to watch.. TCU Arz Lville. Miami NCST. DBU(horrible resume)
     
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  6. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    Sooners slim host hopes gone most likely.. lost first 2 to UK. If they were to win out(sweeping Horns nxt week) might get back on host bubble.

    Could UK get on host bubble? doubtful. 32 rpi, but do finish at Vandy, big rpi boost chances
     
  7. BrianUF5220

    BrianUF5220 Senior

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    Hard to believe if we take 2 out of 3 vs Bama we do not host.

    Likely be RPI 14.
     
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  8. ocalaman

    ocalaman GC Hall of Fame

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    Warren Nolan Live has has with an SOS of #4, RPI of #14, ELO #7 after today's game.
     
  9. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    Would think winner host , loser doesnt.. Although Bama w/ #8 rpi may if only win 1.. Ole Miss will also host if win last series... running out of spots, but Im sure they make room for sec..;)

    Vols are trying to play out of host, so that opens up another,, but TCU now looking better.. WVU could also be playing self out of host.. 40 wins though??
     
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  10. BrianUF5220

    BrianUF5220 Senior

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    I would be very happy with Winner Hosts, Loser No. We will see.
     
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  11. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    Would be shocked if winner didnt. better chance both get one than neither..lol

    clemson also trying to go from top 8 to a 2 seed
     
    Last edited: May 11, 2025 at 8:15 PM
  12. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    My guess at medias guess of T16 this week..Id have T3 a little different. (rpi)

    1. LSU(7)
    2. Texas(4)
    3. Aub(2)
    4. UGa(1)
    5. FSU(9)
    6. Vandy(3)
    7. Ark(5)
    8. UNC(11)

    9. Org St(6)
    10.Coastal(12)
    11. UCLA(10)
    12.Oregon(19)
    13.Bama(8)
    14.Irvine(18)
    15.Clemson(14)
    16. Ole Miss(17)

    17.Vols(15)
    18. TCU(16)
    19. UF(13)
    20. Gt(23)
    21. WVU(24)
     
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  13. WESGATORS

    WESGATORS Moderator VIP Member

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    irvine: 2-4 vs. Top 40 RPI teams. They better be prepared to travel.

    Go GATORS!
    ,WESGATORS
     
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  14. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    9-4 v Q1,,but dont disagree. Media seems to like them..& WVU, could be way off on them

    I also think GT resume a lot better than Clemson,, but just going off medias guess last week on most .

    If they need room for another sec Irvine would be first to get boot Im sure.. big $$ maker difference. 2k(no idea, guessing) in Irvine or 12K in Oxford..hmm I wonder
     
    Last edited: May 11, 2025 at 10:04 PM
  15. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    Id also still have Horns #1, theyre going to win sec. worthy enough IMO,,games in March count same as now.
    And LSU/AU resumes a coin flip..other than that pesky sweep,,but same can be applied w/ UGa/AU
     
  16. Onthebench

    Onthebench Freshman

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    Weird year in SEC. Everyone has their marquee wins and a couple of weekends they wish they could forget. Doubt we see Omaha chalk (SEC/ACC) this year. Everyone is vulnerable.
     
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  17. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    Last edited: May 12, 2025 at 4:08 PM
  18. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    Florida

    Remaining: 3 home, 0 road, 0 neutral
    Current RPI: 13
    ROWP: 0.722

    Top 45:

    No more wins needed.

    Top 32:

    No more wins needed.

    Top 16:

    1 home wins, 0 road wins

    Top 8:

    3 home wins, 0 road wins
     
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  19. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    KPI is being used by committee last couple years(per d1 guys) heres that ranking

    Faktor
     
  20. WESGATORS

    WESGATORS Moderator VIP Member

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    I don't understand that one as much. For example, Arkansas' best win is Texas at home (+1.41); FLORIDA's best win is Texas on the road (+1.26). Is the 9-run win at home that much better than the 6-run win on the road? Or is there something else at play?

    Go GATORS!
    ,WESGATORS