Here is a look at recruiting since 2007. Its not pretty on offense. You really need to hit around 70-75% success in evaluation in order to be an elite program. 2007 Paul Wilson - WR - non contributor Steve Wilks - FB - ST contributor Bo Willimas - RB - transfer Bryan Waggener - QB Deonte Thompson - WR Chris Rainey - RB Pouncy Brothers - OL Cam Newton - QB - transfer Aaron Hernandez - TE John Brantley - QB - bust 4 contributors (3 All SEC)/6 busts or noncontributors 60% bust rate 2008 David Young - OL - medical Sam Robey -OL - career backup TJ Pridemore - FB - limited duty Matt Patchan - OL - transfer/bust Carl Moore - WR - 2 years eligibility E. Moody - RB - underachiever TJ Lawrence - WR - transfer O. Hines - WR - utility player Frankie Hammond - WR - #3 WR Jeff Demps - RB - Decent back - best year was true frosh year 5 contributors/backups (0 All SEC)/5 busts or non-contributors 50% bust rate 2009 Andre Debose - WR - medical/bust Xavier Nixon - OL - 4 year starter - very average Nick Alajajian - OL - medical/bust Mike Gillislee - RB - 1 great season Jordan Reed - TE - All SEC Desmond Parks - TE - transfer Stephen Ali - WR - bust Kyle Koehne - OL - career backup Jon Harrison - OL - 2 year starter - average player Jon Halapio - OL - 3 year starter very average 6 contributor/backups (1xAll SEC)/4 busts or non-contributors 40%bust rate 2010 Mack Brown - RB - career backup Gerald Christian - TE - transfer Chris Dunkley - WR - transfer/bust Ian Silberman - OL - career backup Chaz Green - OL - starter - injured Solomon Patton - WR - #3 WR Trey Burton - WR - utility player Quinton Dunbar - WR - #3 WR Tyler Murphy - QB - career backup Michael McFarland - TE - transfer 6 contributors/backups (0xAll SEC - 1 starter)/4 busts or non-contributors 40% bust rate LAST 4 URBAN MEYER CLASSES = 45 players. 4 All SEC. 53% bust rate. 2011 - *Muschamp 1st Class Jeff Driskel - QB - starter Ja-Juan Story - WR - transfer AC Leonard - transfer Mike Blakely - RB - transfer Javares McRoy - transfer Clay Burton - converted DE Valdez Showers - converted DB Jacoby Brissett - QB - transfer Trip Thurman - OL - nonfactor Tommy Jordan- OL - nonfactor Hunter Joyer - FB - starter Tevin Westbrook - converted DE 7 contributors (0 ALL SEC. 3 converted Defenders) / 5 busts/Non-Contributors 42% bust rate (pending) 2012 DJ Humphries - OL Jessamen Dunker - OL Colin Thompson - TE Kent Taylor - TE Matt Jones - RB Latroy Pittman - WR Skyler Mornhinweg - QB Raphael Andrades - WR 8 on roster/1 transfer 2 starters. 2013 Kent Taylor - RB Demarcus Robinson - WR Alvin Bailey - WR Ahmad Fulwood - WR Adam Lane - RB Marqui Hawkins - WR Max Staver - QB ROderick Johnson - OL Trenton Brown - OL Octavius Jackson - OL Chris Thompson - WR Trevon Young - OL Tyler Moore - OL 2xRB. 5xWR.5xOL. This is why Urban said the program was broken. He recruited 45 offensive players in his last 4 classes and only pulled 4 ALL-SEC players. 3 of which were in the 2007 class and the last 1 was ALL-SEC under Muschamp. A 53% bust rate on evaluation is abysmal by any standard, let alone that of a major D1 program. Now to Muschamp. I am willing to toss out the 2011 class since he was a new hire and traditionally there is never good success in a coach's very first class since he is starting while everybody else is closing. On to 2012, we see that where Will failed was in his failure to sign more OL in that class. Losing Dunker was an un-mittigated disaster for him, especially in light of the fact that he signed only 1 other freshman OL. Although, I will not totally blame him for going light on offensive skilled players in this class as 2012 did not appear to be a strong class. He did miss on a couple of big time players here, but he didn't reach. He made an executive decision that the scholly's were better spent on top end D talent as opposed to reaching for offense. This decision has hurt us in the short term due to our inability to make up for the lack of depth resulting from the 07-11 classes. But, in the longrun this decision could ultimately restore the program by reducing the bust rate which was out of control in 07-11. It is too early to declare anybody still on the roster a bust in this class (except possibly Latroy Pittman who appears to be on the transfer list at season's end). Although the failure of the TE's to get on the field is a sore subject for us fans, I do not believe it is fair to declare them busts. Finally, Matt Jones was bitten by bad luck when he got mono and missed fall camp. I will not declare him a bust....yet. Looking at 2013, this was Will's first real foot forward into offensive recruiting. The optimist in me tells me that the additions of the 5 WRs including the 2 potential studs in Fullwood and Robinson and the addition of 5 OL and 2 stud RBs in Taylor and Lane (who I still believe has the highest ceiling), have restored Florida as a major player for offensive talent. We see the impact of recruiting, specifically 2011, this season as FSU's entire offense essentially came from the 2011 class. Jimbo was in full swing while Will was the new kid on the block. I believe (without checking) that FSU recruited all of their starting WR's, RB's and TE in 2011. The poor offensive recruiting in 07-11 coupled with the strong class we missed on in 2011 due to the new hire has set us back a few years and made it very difficult to make up ground quickly, specially in light of the thin offensive talent in the country in 2012. For argument's sake lets stay Muschamp stays, if he closes with Grier, Cook, Lane, Goolsby, and adds 1 or 2 of the big OL, then I believe the program will finally be back in a position to recruit more balanced rosters moving forward. If he misses on a couple of OL then depth will continue to be an issue. Best case scenario, the team has better luck on the injury front, has greater depth on the OL, a stable of top end backs and WR's and 2 senior QBs, i.e, a recipe for success in a year when the rest of the conference will be replacing their QBs. What is missing? The game changer. Where is the next Percy Harvin? Florida should not have to go 7 years between finding the next guy. Is that guy on campus now? For argument's sake lets say Muschamp is fired. If we lose Grier, the next coach will not be able to recruit a competent Qb in this class. Thus, unless Staver or Morning turns out to be something more then clipboard holders (which is very doubtful) that coach will be faced with the prospect of starting the 2015 campaign with a true freshman QB. This scenario seems like a very low percentage shot to me, especially in light of the expectations at Florida. Further, we will likely see some of the 2013 offensive talent transfer since they do not want their 3rd year to be with a true frosh pitching them the ball. I am very disappointed in the season. Frankly, I am disappointed in Muschamps management of the offense. I do not blame the defensive collapse as the offense has simply served up points to the opposing team so often that only the '85 Bears or '02 Bucs could stand up to that type of adversity on D. In Muschamp's defense, I do believe he was hired to fix the poor recruiting and evaluation taking place in the program. While nobody saw a losing season coming this year, I do believe that expectations were low in the athletic department understanding the challenges in depth coupled with the fact that we were replacing 15 starters from an 11 win team. That coupled with 8 season ending injuries on a team lacking depth to start the season is not a good formula for any coach. I for one believe that Saban or SOS or Meyer might have done 1 or 2 games better with this same set of circumstances, but nothing more. I think this is a much more complicated decision for Foley then it was with Zook (who, contrary to the opinion of many was a far inferior coach to Muschamp). I do not believe that Foley's job hangs in the balance of any one decision as he is the best AD in America by a long shot. But, this is a very difficult decision and I am glad he is the one to make it. Thoughts?