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Discussion in 'Swamp Gas' started by formerg8er, Oct 6, 2013.
seems like an easy bet. considering that they probably won't score more than 20 points and their defense is awful
LSU opens as 7 point favorite
Just checked and LSU opened as a 7 point favorite for this weeks game against UF. Personally I think that is really high. If anything since LSU is at home 3 points would be pushing it but I just don't see it.
I would take the Gators to win straight up.
I was thinking 3 or 4 points max.
Home field is worth an automatic 3 points, the fact that Death Valley has been deemed the biggest home field advantage in college football means it should be worth at least a couple more.
That means the odds makers would put us close to even on a neutral field. Looks like Florida's stock is rising with the betters.
I was thinking 6 or 7
no surprise--playing at home, coming off a blowout sec win, their only loss was a close game with #5 UGA.
As would I.
i think this is a great bet. gators really don't let people score 20+ often. and when we have it was usually because the offense turned it over and put the D in a tough spot which occured alot. with the offensive improvement and with our secondary getting roberson back i don't think veggieburger is going to be throwing it all over the field like he has gotten the chance too against tcu, auburn miss st and uga.
That sounds about right given the venue, the ranking of the teams, how well LSU is playing, etc. I don't bet, so I can't speak to the value of the spread to that end, but if you told me we would lose to LSU by seven points I would not be shocked at all.
Keep in mind that the point spread is not meant as prediction of the outcome. It is just to keep even money coming in on both sides.
The point spread is more a measure of the betting public's perceptions (correct or incorrect) than an accurate analysis of who should win by how much.
I hope they only score about 12 points so those dirty mangy mutt fans can lament LSU's scoring 30+ on them.
Here's the defense's chance to make a statement.
7 points sounds about right to me.
Mettenberger will be on fire - our defense will have to be in top form for us to prevail, IMHO.
I hope our team doesn't get complacent and assume just because we beat them last year it will be an automatic win this year.
I know that sounds screwy but hey it happens all the time.
I loved our game with Arky with the one exception of the running game, which could use some tweaking.
We have the players - we just need to coach 'em up and execute. Easier said than done sometimes....Go Gators!
Doesn't matter. Gators will win!
good post. the running defense really had me worried after the 1st quarter when their 80+yards was already more than we had surrendered in a single game so far. however i must say we not only have the best defense in the country but the best defensive coaches. the adjustments that they made after that first quarter was impressive. they only had 30 yards rushing the rest of the game. pretty impressive
I don't like our chances. I'm thinking 20-7 LSU.
With our running game absent, and our special teams hit or miss, it will be tough to put up points. Plus, more importantly, Murphy in Death Valley scares me. He's looking very good right now, but this is a completely different animal. They don't call it Death Valley for nothin'... Lol Hope I'm wrong!
I don't think their defense is anything special this year. Their offense is good, but it plays into our strength. Our kicking game is a concern though.
Pure points predictor pegs LSU as 3.4 points better and then has homefield advantage as 4.28 points so far this year, so 7 is about what it should be. Pure points doesn't know that Murphy wasn't our QB for the 1st two games, though.