UF vs LSU early betting line. LSU favored by 7.

Discussion in 'Swamp Gas' started by formerg8er, Oct 6, 2013.

  1. formerg8er

    formerg8er Member

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    671
    Likes Received:
    1
    Trophy Points:
    18
    Location:
    Tampa, FL
    Ratings Received:
    +7
  2. jaxgator1991

    jaxgator1991 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2013
    Messages:
    1,105
    Likes Received:
    150
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    Jacksonville Beach
    Ratings Received:
    +521
    seems like an easy bet. considering that they probably won't score more than 20 points and their defense is awful
  3. Danielmaddie

    Danielmaddie New Member

    Joined:
    Jul 30, 2011
    Messages:
    399
    Likes Received:
    1
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Ratings Received:
    +1
    LSU opens as 7 point favorite

    Just checked and LSU opened as a 7 point favorite for this weeks game against UF. Personally I think that is really high. If anything since LSU is at home 3 points would be pushing it but I just don't see it.
  4. geauxgator1

    geauxgator1 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2010
    Messages:
    6,855
    Likes Received:
    1,930
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Ratings Received:
    +2,753
    I would take the Gators to win straight up.
    • Like Like x 1
  5. Jaggator

    Jaggator Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 11, 2007
    Messages:
    74,828
    Likes Received:
    3,382
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Ratings Received:
    +5,203
    I was thinking 3 or 4 points max.
  6. naturedave

    naturedave Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2007
    Messages:
    1,630
    Likes Received:
    3
    Trophy Points:
    38
    Ratings Received:
    +8
    I disagree...

    Home field is worth an automatic 3 points, the fact that Death Valley has been deemed the biggest home field advantage in college football means it should be worth at least a couple more.

    That means the odds makers would put us close to even on a neutral field. Looks like Florida's stock is rising with the betters.
  7. UFreak

    UFreak Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2007
    Messages:
    6,419
    Likes Received:
    241
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Ratings Received:
    +1,042
    I was thinking 6 or 7
  8. Swamper

    Swamper New Member

    Joined:
    Apr 9, 2007
    Messages:
    15,812
    Likes Received:
    6
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Ratings Received:
    +6
    no surprise--playing at home, coming off a blowout sec win, their only loss was a close game with #5 UGA.
  9. Nicho

    Nicho Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2007
    Messages:
    7,794
    Likes Received:
    195
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Ratings Received:
    +558
    As would I. ;)
  10. jaxgator1991

    jaxgator1991 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2013
    Messages:
    1,105
    Likes Received:
    150
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    Jacksonville Beach
    Ratings Received:
    +521
    i think this is a great bet. gators really don't let people score 20+ often. and when we have it was usually because the offense turned it over and put the D in a tough spot which occured alot. with the offensive improvement and with our secondary getting roberson back i don't think veggieburger is going to be throwing it all over the field like he has gotten the chance too against tcu, auburn miss st and uga.
    • Like Like x 1
  11. rserina

    rserina VIP Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2007
    Messages:
    27,231
    Likes Received:
    487
    Trophy Points:
    83
    Ratings Received:
    +1,983
    That sounds about right given the venue, the ranking of the teams, how well LSU is playing, etc. I don't bet, so I can't speak to the value of the spread to that end, but if you told me we would lose to LSU by seven points I would not be shocked at all.
  12. naturedave

    naturedave Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2007
    Messages:
    1,630
    Likes Received:
    3
    Trophy Points:
    38
    Ratings Received:
    +8
    Keep in mind that the point spread is not meant as prediction of the outcome. It is just to keep even money coming in on both sides.

    The point spread is more a measure of the betting public's perceptions (correct or incorrect) than an accurate analysis of who should win by how much.
  13. DieAGator

    DieAGator Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2007
    Messages:
    17,459
    Likes Received:
    213
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Ratings Received:
    +986
    I hope they only score about 12 points so those dirty mangy mutt fans can lament LSU's scoring 30+ on them.
    • Like Like x 1
  14. ArtDeco

    ArtDeco Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 26, 2011
    Messages:
    1,871
    Likes Received:
    105
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    Detroit Rock City
    Ratings Received:
    +493
    Here's the defense's chance to make a statement.
    • Like Like x 1
  15. Bazza

    Bazza Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 2, 2009
    Messages:
    7,905
    Likes Received:
    625
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New Smyrna Beach
    Ratings Received:
    +1,329
    7 points sounds about right to me.

    Mettenberger will be on fire - our defense will have to be in top form for us to prevail, IMHO.


    I hope our team doesn't get complacent and assume just because we beat them last year it will be an automatic win this year.

    I know that sounds screwy but hey it happens all the time.

    I loved our game with Arky with the one exception of the running game, which could use some tweaking.

    We have the players - we just need to coach 'em up and execute. Easier said than done sometimes....Go Gators!
  16. RayGator

    RayGator VIP Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2007
    Messages:
    41,498
    Likes Received:
    671
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Lakeland, Florida USA.
    Ratings Received:
    +1,606
    Doesn't matter. Gators will win! :)
    • Like Like x 2
  17. jaxgator1991

    jaxgator1991 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2013
    Messages:
    1,105
    Likes Received:
    150
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    Jacksonville Beach
    Ratings Received:
    +521
    good post. the running defense really had me worried after the 1st quarter when their 80+yards was already more than we had surrendered in a single game so far. however i must say we not only have the best defense in the country but the best defensive coaches. the adjustments that they made after that first quarter was impressive. they only had 30 yards rushing the rest of the game. pretty impressive
  18. gatorr4life

    gatorr4life Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2007
    Messages:
    23,214
    Likes Received:
    400
    Trophy Points:
    83
    Ratings Received:
    +1,393
    I don't like our chances. I'm thinking 20-7 LSU.

    With our running game absent, and our special teams hit or miss, it will be tough to put up points. Plus, more importantly, Murphy in Death Valley scares me. He's looking very good right now, but this is a completely different animal. They don't call it Death Valley for nothin'... Lol Hope I'm wrong!
  19. geauxgator1

    geauxgator1 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2010
    Messages:
    6,855
    Likes Received:
    1,930
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Ratings Received:
    +2,753
    I don't think their defense is anything special this year. Their offense is good, but it plays into our strength. Our kicking game is a concern though.
  20. corpgator

    corpgator Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 9, 2010
    Messages:
    6,410
    Likes Received:
    164
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Ratings Received:
    +752
    Pure points predictor pegs LSU as 3.4 points better and then has homefield advantage as 4.28 points so far this year, so 7 is about what it should be. Pure points doesn't know that Murphy wasn't our QB for the 1st two games, though.

Share This Page