To Get Ready for the upcoming Michael Frazier non-slump

Discussion in 'Nuttin' but Net' started by InstiGATOR1, Oct 21, 2013.

  1. InstiGATOR1

    InstiGATOR1 Active Member

    Joined:
    Jan 9, 2011
    Messages:
    2,980
    Likes Received:
    22
    Trophy Points:
    38
    Ratings Received:
    +41
    I found the below and thought of Michael Frazier this year. Here is an excerpt from Ken Pommeroy's article:

    Here is the link to the rest:

    http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/entry/brady_heslips_non_slump
  2. GatorPlanet

    GatorPlanet Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 15, 2007
    Messages:
    6,257
    Likes Received:
    147
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    Maitland, FL
    Ratings Received:
    +594
    Sometimes it's a matter of a player being asked by the coaches to just let it fly, when there isn't as much firepower around them. So he might just be taking more low-percentage shots. As a freshman or sophomore, maybe you're told to be selective, but as a junior or senior, maybe the staff wants you to be the gunner if the team needs offense.
    • Like Like x 1
  3. GatorPlanet

    GatorPlanet Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 15, 2007
    Messages:
    6,257
    Likes Received:
    147
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    Maitland, FL
    Ratings Received:
    +594
    Plus, opposing coaches are going to adjust their game plans to shut you down if you're the main scorer.
  4. InstiGATOR1

    InstiGATOR1 Active Member

    Joined:
    Jan 9, 2011
    Messages:
    2,980
    Likes Received:
    22
    Trophy Points:
    38
    Ratings Received:
    +41
    Yes and as Pommeroy says, there is a random component to shooting. So it is not surprising that Kenny Boynton would have a 40% shooting year from the arc even if his true ability is more like 37.5%.
  5. GatorRade

    GatorRade Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2007
    Messages:
    6,780
    Likes Received:
    195
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Ratings Received:
    +595
    Certainly could be, but the point of the article states that there really doesn't need to be any reason for variation. If you shoot 40% one season and 41% the next, this doesn't necessarily indicate that anything has changed. We expect these small scale variations just because of the random nature of the event. It turns out that shooting 45% one season and then 40% the next might also within the random vibrations.

    Now Frazier may also be asked to change his approach to 3s, which might also be expected to alter his success rate in one way or the other, but regardless, if he is shooting above 40%, we should assume that he is fine.
  6. samit23

    samit23 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2007
    Messages:
    3,913
    Likes Received:
    81
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    Tampa, Florida
    Ratings Received:
    +227
    Or changes on shooting percentages from year to year can be attributed to other no shooting factors, I.e., minutes, conditioning, number of attempts, quality looks, defending certain opponents, etc.

    Sent from my iPhone using GatorCountry
  7. themistocles

    themistocles Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2007
    Messages:
    12,592
    Likes Received:
    80
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Ratings Received:
    +376
    Yeah, my concept of a slump, derived from over 50 years of observation, is that you are having a real difficult time doing what you used to do well. Like a drop from a 40% 3-point percentage to a 15% hit rate, not 45-38, as you all noted, frequently they are taking lower percentage shots.

    We will likely see Frazier hit below his Freshman 46.8% now that he is the go-to-guy if for no other reason than the fact that opposing defense will concentrate on him around the 3-point stripe.
  8. GatorPlanet

    GatorPlanet Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 15, 2007
    Messages:
    6,257
    Likes Received:
    147
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    Maitland, FL
    Ratings Received:
    +594
    On the other hand, to paraphrase Yogi Berra, shooting slumps are 90% mental, the other half is physical.
  9. tampajack1

    tampajack1 VIP Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2007
    Messages:
    4,720
    Likes Received:
    56
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Ratings Received:
    +283
    Your math sucks. 90% + 50% = 140%. Didn't you mean 90% mental and the other third is physical.
  10. DoctorGator

    DoctorGator Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 9, 2007
    Messages:
    4,964
    Likes Received:
    48
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Ratings Received:
    +192
    I see what you did there.

Share This Page