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Discussion in 'Swamp Gas' started by philnotfil, Jan 27, 2014.
Great, thanks Phil. This is exactly the kind of stats that I think need to employed in college football.
Although I would mention that this particular author seems to be mixing up KenPom's four factors, which are all independent components of points/possession. In this case, things like PPP and drive-finishing battle already encompass turnover rate, so turnover margin gets double dipped.
You mean it's not just defense??!! I think Special Teams are huge - cost Auburn the NC.
How could they not mention time of possession? This is UF's forte.
Big plays are probably the single most important factor to winning football games.
I remember Urban Meyer saying a big play during a drive almost assured you would score. Will has had a problem with that concept; hopefully, he has seen the light.
That and pass defense on the last drive.
And if you win the points battle, you win 100% of the time.
On that, I'm under the impression Auburn's secondary gave up too much. fsu's last drive a pass play went 30+ yards where Auburn's secondary was in position but both wiffed after a 5 yard pass toward the sideline.
I agree with the poster above that it seems like some of those stats overlap. For instance, explosive points and efficiency are pretty much the same thing. Likewise, both those factors are improved by not turning the ball over. So I guess it makes sense that all of these stats that measure the same stuff would point in the same direction (in this case, winning).