Preliminaries Over - Season Begins Next Week

Discussion in 'Nuttin' but Net' started by themistocles, Feb 8, 2014.

  1. themistocles
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    themistocles Well-Known Member

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    Although the Gators have had some tests, now the real SEC season starts.

    As usual, the Gators SEC schedule is heavily back loaded with at least 5 possible losses in the next 8 games.

    5 road games in 8.

    3 in places the Gators almost never win: Knoxville, Lexington & Nashville

    1 away game against a decent Ole Miss team

    1 home game against Kentucky

    3 that the Gators are very likely to win: away at South Carolina and home against both Auburn and LSU.

    Historically, even the best Gator teams have lost more than one game during this typically difficult end of year stretch.
  2. bakaduin
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    bakaduin Moderator

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    We are going to lose some, no doubt in my mind. That being said we are wins against LSU, Auburn, and Kentucky from being undefeated at home for 2 straight years. THAT BLOWS MY MIND!
  3. HallGator
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    HallGator Administrator VIP Member

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    Yep, time to put on the Big Boy pants.


    [​IMG]]
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  4. born2beagator
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    born2beagator Well-Known Member

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    What is with the back-loaded schedule? Can't they balance it out over the course of the season?
  5. tegator80
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    tegator80 Well-Known Member

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    The G. Sun had an article that basically said they did that so the best games were after football. More TV viewership.
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  6. born2beagator
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    born2beagator Well-Known Member

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    Wow thats stupid
  7. rserina
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    rserina VIP Member

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    Stupid on the part of the league or on the part of our terrible league and alumni support for hoops?
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  8. peteypab
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    peteypab Member

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    This looks like it is our toughest week of the season playing Tennessee and Kentucky on the road back to back. I'd be happy if we win one, obviously preferring to win in Lexington. Being ranked #3, there is no doubt we will see A+ efforts from both teams.
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  9. gatorev12
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    gatorev12 Well-Known Member

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    The Tennessee and Kentucky games get a little easier with Walker cleared to play and putting in minutes though. We aren't as reliant on Young for a low-post presence; since SEC refs have been known to be over-zealous on Young when we hit the road.

    Our next two games coming up will be our toughest--and if we can come away with two road wins, I think it'll go a long way towards making our case for a #1 seed. Hopefully, that's enough motivation for the team to seal the deal.
  10. co_gator89
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    co_gator89 Well-Known Member

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    I'll be content if we split next week. Tennessee will really want to hit us back after that beatdown we gave them a couple weeks ago. As long as this team plays their game they will win this conference comfortably. Put together a run to Sunday in the SEC tournament and they should be in contention for a #1 seed.
  11. iam4uf
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    iam4uf Well-Known Member

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    I'd be happy with 6-2. Without consistent offense, we're likely to lose to teams with an amped-up crowd that make it ugly & low scoring.
  12. REM08
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    REM08 Well-Known Member

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    IMO a back loaded schedule is what every team should want. It gets you ready for those back loaded tournaments that happen right afterwards.
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  13. 08gatorbait
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    08gatorbait Well-Known Member

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    Fsu, Kansas Memphis, uconn...did that and went 3-1to earlier. I doubt we lose more than two here. I think Uk is pretty hard to see us winning. All other games it will be which one can we not hit a shot to save our life...which happens. Don't care about history, this isn't last year and the sec isn't what the 04s faced.
  14. GatorRade
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    GatorRade Well-Known Member

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    Yep, this week is the real deal. Obviously winning on the road is tough, and Rupp is the road on overdrive, so we are in for a challenge. I think we should be looking at it this way:

    Lose both: Fine. Tough road games.
    Win one: Good. Will come out of weekend with SEC lead.
    Win both: Holy heck!
  15. GatorRade
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    GatorRade Well-Known Member

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    Here's my major threats list that I've been updating on here. Four major threats left, with KenPom giving us 40% chance to win at UK.

    @Arky - check
    @Bama - check
    UT - check plus!
    @UT
    @UK
    @Ole Miss
    UK.

    Approx KenPom odds of going undefeated in these games:
    Odds from start: 1.6%
    Updated odds after Arky victory: 2.7%
    Updated odds after Bama victory: 4.0%
    Updated odds after Tenn victory: 10.0%
    Updated odds on Feb 8th: 5.4%
  16. gatordavisl
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    gatordavisl Well-Known Member

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    I agree with the OP, but think LSU (even at home) could be a tough game. Six of the remaining games are tough games, imo. If we went 6-2, I'd be thrilled. Won't expect it, but would think that's a tremendous success. Can we keep our SEC lead over UK? Exciting stuff.
  17. RealGatorFan
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    This year any Gator basketball game would have more viewers than the football team.
  18. themistocles
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    themistocles Well-Known Member

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    Interesting point about what the Gainesville Sun noted.

    And yes, Kentucky and Tennessee have historically been scheduled late against Donovan's Gators because these games not infrequently decide the regular season conference tournaments. Would be kind of stupid to schedule those early. Last game of season (against UK) is best.

    Regarding Walker helping, so far, in two games, he has totaled 11 minutes. The main reason he is not seeing much playing time is that he simply is not in sync with the team. Really, I think those two games were the worst the Gators have played in about 3 weeks.

    A split in the next two games would be great, but I think 0-2 is more likely, with 2-0 being relatively unlikely. However, this team has shown a tendency to get the job done, so, who knows.
  19. 08gatorbait
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    08gatorbait Well-Known Member

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    Agree but you can't blame Walker. He gave up a total of eight points in both games total...and scored eight points, and stopped two with blocks. I wouldn't put him as the reason we struggled. The team as a whole struggled in both first halves especially stopping two guards(releford and brown).
  20. UFSECKINGS
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    UFSECKINGS Well-Known Member

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    I've noticed on offense, Chris kinda looks confused.. Understandable. WY has stepped up though, I've watched UK numerous times.. I like our chances.

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