Pick'em Contest Game 17 - Florida @ Ole Miss

Discussion in 'Nuttin' but Net' started by GatorLurker, Jan 11, 2018.

  1. GatorLurker
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    On Saturday the 4-0 in SEC play Gators take on the 2-2 Ole Miss Rebels and their Landshark at The Pavilion. No more Colonel, Black Bear, or Tad Pad. I can't say that I miss any of them.

    As always predict the score and now a new rule: If you update your score prediction please do it in a new post. I enter the predictions into a spread sheet as I see them and I don't go back to see if they have been changed. Also predict the Most Valuable Gator and the Stat of the Game.

    Ole Miss is pretty good at taking care of the ball so this time the SOG will be turnover margin.

    Game Winners:
    Gardner-Webb @ Florida - g8rboy
    UNF @ Florida - GatorJason
    New Hampshire @ Florida - UFSECKINGS
    Florida vs Stanford - 85gator
    Florida vs Gonzaga - g8rboy
    Florida vs Duke - cincinnatigator
    FSU @ Florida - manigordo
    Loyola (Chicago) @ Florida - GothamGator
    Clemson vs Florida - gatorbogey
    James Madison @ Florida - Singaporegator
    Incarnate Word @ Florida - ApexNC
    Vanderbilt @ Florida - gulfgator
    Florida @ Texas A&M - airgator96
    Florida @ Missouri - altalias
    Mississippi State @ Florida - ApexNC

    Contest Standings:
    1) GatorJason - 3 points
    2) g8rboy, ApexNC - 2 points
    3) UFSECKINGS, 85gator, cincinnatigator, manigordo, GothamGator, Singaporegator , gatorbogey, gulfgator, airgator96, altalias- 1 point
    2) 44 tied for fourteenth place - 0 points
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  2. gatorbogey
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    Pomeroy metrics:
    23 Florida SEC12-4 +19.04 115.6 19 96.5
    48
    92 Mississippi SEC 9-7 +7.43 110.3 62 102.9
    155
    Ole Miss looks to be the inverse of Mississippi State, who had a good D but bad O.
    Mississippi's D is terrible according to Pomeroy. Gators should exploit it.
    Ole Miss's O is on par w/ Texas A&M in efficiency.

    Sagarin:
    18 Florida = 87.27 12 4 77.07( 22) 2 1 | 4 3 | 87.03 19 | 88.04 16 | 84.76 30
    91 Mississippi = 78.01 9 7 73.63( 109) 0 0 | 0 2 | 77.54 92 | 77.86 88 | 82.92 39
    Recent numbers for Ole Miss are quite good - comparable to UF's! could be tight! In fact, based on the recent ratings, sagarin would predict a 1 pt rebel/bear/landshark win. The Predictor rating, however indicates a 6 or 7 point Gator win.

    prediction:
    Gators 88
    Landsharks 77
    MVG: Allen
    SoG: Gators +2
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  3. manigordo
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    SOG: even
  4. OklahomaGator
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  8. UFSECKINGS
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    UFSECKINGS Senior

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    MVG: Hudson
    SOG: UF +3
  9. g8rboy
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  10. Matherly87
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    Gators - 83
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    SoG - Gators 2 less TO
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  11. BTEGator
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    Okay exiledgator you've waited long enough. Time for you to step in and pick the opponent so you can be the only one and steal the point in case we lose. I see we have 18 straight picking the good guys. Somebody's got to be the bad apple.

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