This is a very early look, and obviously we will know more once NBA decisions are announced and the Spring recruiting/transfer season is over. Let's begin with the assumption that at least these four players are going to the NBA: Aaron Harrison (G), Andrew Harrison (G), James Young (SF), and Julius Randle (PF). It is possible that these two will also go to the NBA: Alex Poythress (CF), Dakari Johnson (C). Finally, UK will lose a couple of seniors who contributed minutes this year: Jared Polson (G), Jon Hood (G). They have the following freshmen coming in: Tyler Ulis (5-9, PG, 4-star), Devin Booker (6-5, SG, 4-star), Trey Lyles (6-10, PF, 5-star), Karl Towns (6-11, C, 5-star). Their returning players of note include: Dominique Hawkins (SF, So., 3-star), Marcus Lee (PF, So, 5-star), Willie Cauley-Stein (7-0, C, 5-star) and maybe Poythress (PF) and Johnson (C). This results in a very lopsided roster that points out the shortcomings of Calipari's system, in which players cycle through so quickly it is impossible to reliably establish depth across all positions. PG: Ulis (Fr) SG: Booker (Fr), Hawkins (So) SF: Poythress (Jr, maybe) PF: Lee (So), Lyles (Fr) C: Cauley-Stein (Jr), Johnson (So, maybe), Towns (Fr) The lineup has amazing depth and talent in the paint, with 4-6 guys who can play either PF or Center at a fairly high level. On the other hand, there is very little on the wings other than two untested freshmen, and a sophomore who made one FG last season. You can also add in Alex Poythress, if he stays, who can play SF, even if it is not his natural position. This is not a roster that can win the conference, much less a national title. It will be hard for UK to exploit its advantage on the inside unless it has more talent on the outside. Further, if either of the freshmen guards struggle, this could be a repeat of the 2013 team that missed the tournament. Of course, a couple of things could happen to flip this scenario around. First, the Harrison twins could decide to stay for their sophomore seasons. If that happens, this becomes a stacked roster that will be favorites to win the national title. Second, Kentucky could add backcourt depth by taking a late signee or a transfer. That would help ensure they get to the NCAA tournament with a fighting chance, but this approach has not yielded a huge difference for them in previous years. What say you?