As a Heat fan, I'm thinking OKC might be a better match, because the Thunder are so dependent on a couple of players (Durant & Westbrook) and LeBron is capable, defensively, of slowing down any one specific player. The Spurs "spread the wealth" around so much that LeBron's ability to slow down one specific player might not have as much of an impact. The Spurs probably should have won it last season, but they kind of blew it in Game 6. Of course, the Heat have to get past the Pacers first - assuming they close out the Nets. The Pacers are very good when they are playing at their best.