How many times does a team that lost the first game in a regional..

Discussion in 'Around the Horn - Baseball & Men's Gator Sports!' started by gulfgator, May 31, 2014.

  1. gulfgator
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    gulfgator Well-Known Member

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    win said regional?

    Unfortunately I would bet it's a very small percentage. I'm sure some geek statistician knows the answer ;)
  2. gtj31
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    gtj31 Well-Known Member

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    You would need to ask the question from the standpoint of a national seed. In general, it is at best less than 50% purely by definition (2 teams lose the first game and 1 of those 2 is automatically sent home).
  3. apkgator
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    apkgator Premium Member

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    I'm guessing if the question were..."how often does a 1 seed recover from a game 1 loss and win the regional" the percentage would be relatively decent
  4. DoubleDown11
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    DoubleDown11 Well-Known Member

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    I've never seen anything like this. Carolina's best player took a fastball to the head, and they're stopping the game while he goes in and gets stitches.
  5. DoubleDown11
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    DoubleDown11 Well-Known Member

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    Just did a quick google search. Baylor did it in 2012, Fullerton did it in 2010, Georgia and Stanford both did it in 2008. That's the year Georgia went on the CWS finals. That's as far back as I felt like going before I got bored. ;)
  6. gtj31
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    gtj31 Well-Known Member

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    To me, it is very poor on behalf of the UNC coach. Heads are not easily replaced. Arms, legs, etc, fine. Heads...kind of a big deal. The kid has 60+ years of life ahead. Who cares about 1 college baseball game?
  7. Angaza
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    Angaza Member

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    That's easy for us to say, he is their best player and he was taken out of the game by a bad pitch. It turned out he only needed stitches and passed the concussion test.

    I understand why the coach wanted to prolong the waiting time to see if he was OK and what the injury was before having to make that decision.
  8. GboroGator
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    GboroGator Well-Known Member

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    Two anemic teams.
  9. gtj31
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    gtj31 Well-Known Member

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    I would say it for any 20 year old. They have no concept of the length of life. He should have had a CT scan and monitoring to make sure there is no damage to his eyes or brain (I am an engineer and not a doctor so I clearly don't have an informed opinion, just an opinion). Risk-reward makes zero sense. This game is nothing in the life of a human being.
  10. gtj31
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    gtj31 Well-Known Member

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    Rain delay again...

    How long does Poyner last? He has had trouble every inning. Playing with fire here given UF's current hitting.
  11. spike718
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    spike718 Active Member

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    Is this the game thread? If so, what's the score?
  12. Angaza
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    Angaza Member

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    I agree. Which is why pausing the game instead of haphazardly putting him in or ruling him out is warranted. The coach wasn't pulling him onto the field, just waiting to find out more. The concussion exam, assuming it's the ImPACT one, has a pretty high sensitivity and specificity of determining concussions.
  13. gtj31
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    gtj31 Well-Known Member

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    The best we have.

    0-0 bottom of 3. 2 on and 0 outs for UNC.

    Rain delay.

    UNC has had a runner in scoring position in each of the first 3 innings.
  14. spike718
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    spike718 Active Member

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    Thanks. Hopefully we can get out of the jam.
  15. DoubleDown11
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    DoubleDown11 Well-Known Member

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    The problem was that the delay was way longer than 10 minutes, regardless of how long the "ncaa reps" told the ESPN announcers it was. If you're going to enact an obscure rule, then follow that rule.
  16. gtj31
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    gtj31 Well-Known Member

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    Have you ever heard of pausing a game? I haven't.
  17. Angaza
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    Angaza Member

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    It's just a shame their best player is gone from the game from a HBP when a few more minutes would have allowed enough time for a definitive assessment.
  18. dadx4
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    dadx4 Well-Known Member

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    Sucks for the kid but we really need to score runs or we are going home......oh wait a minute....lol
  19. apkgator
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    apkgator Premium Member

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    ESPN just did a little stat....looked like almost 50% of 1 seeds that lost game 1 have advanced since 1999.
  20. AndyGator
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    AndyGator Well-Known Member

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    4 of 11 times they made it to the CWS. 5 of 11 to the super regional. They showed it on ESPNU. Only 3 of 11 times did they go 0-2. So it it not impossible for the gators. FSU, though, is in trouble.

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