We had a post over on the Global Cooling thread about failed predictions. I had started this thread several months ago, but it was pruned. So, in addition to the failed ice estimates, let's start to publish others. If course, the most damaging failure has been the predictive nature of the models. An article printed by Nature Climate Change and authored by John C. Fyfe, Nathan P. Gillett & Francis W. Zwiers titled; Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years discusses this very thing. It is behind a (significant) paywall, but Judith Curry is kind enough to provide us with excerpts Dr Curry provides us with her insight; Oh, again from Dr Curry, a few words about the authors. Jon Fyfe and Nathan Gillett are Canadian climate modelers. Francis Zwiers literally wrote the book on climate statistics (w/von Storch): Statistical Analysis in Climate Research. Fyfe was a lead author for the AR4; Gillett is a lead author for the AR5 Chapter 9; Zwiers is Vice Chair for WG1 of AR5.