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Discussion in 'Swamp Gas' started by palafornia, Sep 13, 2013.
No but since Mark Halfrich has only been a head coach for two games and still very much an unknown as far as his approach to playing with a big lead goes so I used Kelly as a point of reference and didn't realize that I needed to explain that I understand that Kelly is no longer their coach.
This is what I would do with the Ducks:
Oregon covers by halftime.
It is college football. Why do we watch it? it is not because every favorite wins their games.
Now, I would lay money against that in a Sportsbook. Of course, you could only really bet against the halftime spread itself which is probably 14-15.
Do you have a link to those numbers? I wonder how they measure total defense. If it's based upon yards alone, you can throw that out. The rankings I provided are derived from a reasonably comprehensive collection of stats, used to measure defensive efficiency.
In their other measurement, they rank Oregon's defense:
#2 in 2012
#12 in 2011
#3 in 2010
Obviously there is a disparity between the NCAA stats you are citing and the ranking system they are using.
No. Those are from the NCAA's site. The numbers you are using are innovative manipulation of the numbers to create new criteria. Not saying they are misguided or bad. Total offense is easy, the number of yards gained in a game. Total defense is the number of yards allowed.
These numbers are not perfect, as some numbers can be padded by flailing against defenses while trying to catch up, or teams that put in their 3d stringers to get experience, or teams that simply run the ball to end blowouts painlessly.
But the numbers are straightforward.
Well, you simply cannot rate defenses by yardage allowed. The numbers from the site I referenced are more comprehensive; not manipulative or creative. BTW - Oregon's defense looks pretty good this year. My main contention was with 0607's suggestion that "they don't play defense in Eugene." That is not true.