9 things that might disappear in our lifetime

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by g8orbill, Jul 26, 2013.

  1. g8orbill
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    g8orbill Gators VIP Member

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    disclaimer- this was sent to me by a longtime friend and Gator- some funny thoughts but a lot of merit-take it for what it's worth
    ....................


    Nine Things That Will Disappear in Our/Your Lifetime


    Whether these changes are good or bad depends in part on how we adapt to them.
    But, ready or not, here they come.....

    1. The Post Office

    Get ready to imagine a world without the post office. They are so deeply in financial trouble that there is probably no way to sustain it long term. Email, Fed Ex, and UPS have just about wiped out the minimum revenue needed to keep the post office alive. Most of your mail every day is junk mail and bills.

    2. The Check

    Britain is already laying the groundwork to do away with checks by 2018. It costs the financial system billions of dollars a year to process checks. Plastic cards and online transactions will lead to the eventual demise of the check. This plays right into the death of the post office. If you never paid your bills by mail and never received them by mail, the post office would absolutely go out of business.


    3. The Newspaper

    The younger generation simply doesn't read the newspaper. They certainly don't subscribe to a daily delivered print edition. That may go the way of the milkman and the laundry man. As for reading the paper online, get ready to pay for it. The rise in mobile Internet devices and e-readers has caused all the newspaper and magazine publishers to form an alliance. They have met with Apple, Amazon, and the major cell phone companies to develop a model for paid subscription services.

    4. The Book
    You say you will never give up the physical book that you hold in your hand and turn the literal pages. I said the same thing about downloading music from iTunes. I wanted my hard copy CD. But I quickly changed my mind when I discovered that I could get albums for half the price without ever leaving home to get the latest music. The same thing will happen with books. You can browse a bookstore online and even read a preview chapter before you buy. And the price is less than half that of a real book. And think of the convenience! Once you start flicking your fingers on the screen instead of the book, you find that you are lost in the story, can't wait to see what happens next, and you forget that you're holding a gadget instead of a book.

    5. The Land Line Telephone
    Unless you have a large family and make a lot of local calls, you don't need it anymore. Most people keep it simply because they've always had it. But you are paying double charges for that extra service. All the cell phone companies will let you call customers using the same cell provider for no charge against your minutes.

    6. Music
    This is one of the saddest parts of the change story. The music industry is dying a slow death. Not just because of illegal downloading. It's the lack of innovative new music being given a chance to get to the people who would like to hear it. Greed and corruption is the problem. The record labels and the radio conglomerates are simply self-destructing. Over 40% of the music purchased today is "catalogue items," meaning traditional music that the public is familiar with. Older established artists. This is also true on the live concert circuit. To explore this fascinating and disturbing topic further, check out the book, "Appetite for Self-Destruction" by Steve Knopper, and the video documentary, "Before the Music Dies."

    7. Television
    Revenues to the networks are down dramatically. Not just because of the economy. People are watching TV and movies streamed from their computers. And they're playing games and doing lots of other things that take up the time that used to be spent watching TV. Prime time shows have degenerated down to lower than the lowest common denominator. Cable rates are skyrocketing and commercials run about every 4 minutes and 30 seconds. I say good riddance to most of it. It's time for the cable companies to be put out of our misery. Let the people choose what they want to watch online and through Netflix.


    8. The "Things" That You Own
    Many of the very possessions that we used to own are still in our lives, but we may not actually own them in the future. They may simply reside in "the cloud." Today your computer has a hard drive and you store your pictures, music, movies, and documents. Your software is on a CD or DVD, and you can always re-install it if need be. But all of that is changing. Apple, Microsoft, and Google are all finishing up their latest "cloud services." That means that when you turn on a computer, the Internet will be built into the operating system. So, Windows, Google, and the Mac OS will be tied straight into the Internet. If you click an icon, it will open something in the Internet cloud. If you save something, it will be saved to the cloud. And you may pay a monthly subscription fee to the cloud provider. In this virtual world, you can access your music or your books, or your whatever from any laptop or handheld device. That's the good news. But, will you actually own any of this "stuff" or will it all be able to disappear at any moment in a big "Poof?" Will most of the things in our lives be disposable and whimsical? It makes you want to run to the closet and pull out that photo album, grab a book from the shelf, or open up a CD case and pull out the insert.

    9. Privacy
    If there ever was a concept that we can look back on nostalgically, it would be privacy. That's gone. It's been gone for a long time anyway. There are cameras on the street, in most of the buildings, and even built into your computer and cell phone. But you can be sure that 24/7, "They" know who you are and where you are, right down to the GPS coordinates, and the Google Street View. If you buy something, your habit is put into a zillion profiles, and your ads will change to reflect those habits. "They" will try to get you to buy something else. Again and again.

    All we will have left that can't be changed are "Memories".....

    And then probably Alzheimer's will take that away from you too.
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  2. MichiGator2002
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    MichiGator2002 VIP Member

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    Add "writing". Which is to say, handwriting, which is further to say script -- cursive. Saw a column talking about how we're already being cut off from history that's not even a hundred years old because -- forget being able to write it -- fewer and fewer people are even able to read cursive. And I don't just mean great historical documents, but even family letters and stories and such that might provide some meaningful insight into our personal and family histories, are dying to our increased ignorance of language and writing.
  3. wgbgator
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    wgbgator Sub-optimal Poster Premium Member

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    Most of those things are just containers or delivery devices. The content will still exist, you'll just receive it differently. Some of those things like "books" will become specialty/niche items, like vinyl records, which sell pretty well, relatively. Never underestimate the market for nostalgia.The one indie record store left where I live has gone from like 1 small section for vinyl, to almost half the store now.
  4. g8orbill
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    g8orbill Gators VIP Member

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    michi- I have been told that I write like a girl and the other day I wrote something out for my employees only to be told that half of them could not read it-
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  5. kygator
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    kygator Well-Known Member

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    It's always amusing to look back and see what people thought the future would be like. It doesn't usually match reality.
  6. wgbgator
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    wgbgator Sub-optimal Poster Premium Member

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    What, you don't have a jetpack and hoverboard yet?
  7. newkastle
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    newkastle Professional Lurker Premium Member

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    I don't think the land line phone will go away until cell phone voice quality improves. Not only are you dependent on the signal strength to have good voice quality, but cell phones compress the voice data, making it less cleat than a land line.

    Having said that, my family recently cancelled our land line, but due to less than stellar voice quality with our cell phones, I wish I had the land line back.
  8. vangator1
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    vangator1 Well-Known Member

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    Bill, I would have kept that to myself. :)
  9. tegator80
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    tegator80 Well-Known Member

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    Isn't this Too Hot? Everyone missed the biggest one.
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    Personal freedom. Sort of a close cousin to privacy but it is THE issue going forward.
  10. gator7_5
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    gator7_5 Well-Known Member

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    I was hoping the penny would be #1.
  11. rivergator
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    rivergator Well-Known Member

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    Yes and no. Yes, those are the delivery systems, but those systems support the content. Who steps into the void as local newspapers disappear?
  12. tegator80
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    tegator80 Well-Known Member

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    True. We need to lose the penny and the paper dollar.
  13. wgbgator
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    wgbgator Sub-optimal Poster Premium Member

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    If I knew the answer, I'd be a rich man. While I share your concerns, perspective-wise, print was invented in the 15th century. Newspapers in the 18th century, which required mass literacy for them to even be a thing. Digital media is in its relative infancy, so its kind of the wild-west right now. If the demand for newspaper-like content is there, I think someone will figure out a way of delivering it with a new revenue model. The old one is clearly on the way out.
  14. g8orbill
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    g8orbill Gators VIP Member

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    hahahaha- hell I am 61 and pretty comfortable with who I am-when my soon to be freshman was in the 7th grade she missed a day of school and when she took the note I wrote the guidance office said no man wrote this note-fortunatley or unfortunately one of my old girlfriends from high school was a teacher at the school and she happened to be standing near the desk checking her mail box and heard the conversation-she walked over and asked to see the note and then said to the guidance person-yep that is Bill's handwriting-of course when my daughter came home she wanted to know how that teacher knew my writing-I had never disclosed to her that I had dated 3 teachers who taught at her school- had to make her go to school the next day-lol
  15. rivergator
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    rivergator Well-Known Member

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    As I've pointed out, it's not just a matter of supply and demand. Consider classified ads and how much newspaper content they paid for. Craigs List killed that and you're not going to replace it simply people wanting it.
  16. wgbgator
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    wgbgator Sub-optimal Poster Premium Member

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    Yes, newspaper revenue was driven by ads. Other inventions or innovations might lead to new revenue sources, or what was done by newspapers, done by something else. Many entities that were distributors of content are now trying to generate content to lure subscribers. It may be that instead of getting local news from the paper, you get it from Netflix.
  17. Emmitto
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    Emmitto VIP Member

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    Music? Uh, ok. Maybe some of the moochers who have monopolized distribution, but there will never be a day without new music.
  18. rivergator
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    rivergator Well-Known Member

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    i lean pretty heavily toward Americana and I'm amazed at how many really good young bands are out there these days.
  19. mdgator05
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    Yah it is a bit ridiculous to say new music is not being made. The real development is that music is developing into a highly niche product. The stadium concert might die, but music will continue to be made and played in 20 small clubs by 20 different bands rather than by 1 band in that stadium.

    BTW, I think a similar things is happening to media, where newspapers will be replaced by a multitude of niche products.

    I think the move to niche products in just about everything information or entertainment related could have some negative social effects, but I am not sure that anything can be done to prevent those effects. It will have some positive effects as well, as it might make it easier for talented bands to actually make a living at music if they don't have to deal with the massive pop music firms, setup to service the people with stadium tours and not those on tours of small clubs.
  20. exiledgator
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    10. My hairline.

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