Gator Country

David Shepherd · 03-07-2013, 09:18 PM

So the top 4 get a bye

Florida 14-3 24-5
Missouri 11-6 22-8
Ole Miss 11-6 22-8
Kentucky 11-6 20-10
Alabama 11-6 19-11
Tennessee 10-7 18-11

Florida plays KY,
Missouri @ TN
UGA @ ALA
Ole Miss at LSU

Lots of scenarios

ArtVandelay · 03-07-2013, 09:46 PM

Im root for:

1) Florida
2) Mizzou
3) Ole Miss
4) Bama
5) Kentucky
6) Tenn

Would like to see Mizzou and Tenn on the opposite side of us. I wouldn't mind seeing Kentucky on the other side too, but that will involve then beating us, which I don't want.

Go Gators!

InstiGATOR1 · 03-07-2013, 09:57 PM

Well if:

1. UTn beats UMo at UTn this Saturday as I expect, UTn will finish at 11-7.
2. UMo will then also finish at 11-7.
3. UMs loses at LSU I suspect they will, UMs finishes at 11-7
4. UF beats UK at Rupp which I predicted preseason would not happen but now think has a great chance, but is not sure thing UK finishes 11-7
5. UAL loses at home to UGa which I doubt happens, UAL finishes 11-7.

I of course hope I was wrong pre-season and UF wins at Rupp and everything else ensues. Then UF would win the SEC by 4 games and there would be an amusing 5 way tie for second. I have no idea how they would break that.

Since, I expect UAL to win at home they will probably finish second in the SEC at 12-6. UK could join them tied for second.

themistocles · 03-07-2013, 10:10 PM

Interesting stuff. I was wondering about this before Ky's loss to UGA and now things are even crazier with 4 teams tied for 2nd place.

I too expect Bama to beat Georgia at home, but isn't it interesting that so many of the upper level teams play away in their last game.

Personally, I expect Florida to either win or lose against Ky, Missou to beat UTn, Ole Miss to beat LSU and Bama to beat Georgia.

Actually, I think probabalistically, given the way things have gone in the SEC this season, that scenario above, other than the UF/UK game, has a relatively low probability of occurring.

An amusing 5 way tie for second. Now, that would be interesting.

GatorsGators · 03-07-2013, 10:17 PM

I think Kentucky, Missouri, and Ole Miss will all lose, while Alabama will win. That'd put Alabama at #2 by themselves, with the other three tied with Tennessee.

Kentucky would be 3-1 against those three teams.
Ole Miss would be 3-2.
Tennessee would be 2-3.
Missouri would be 1-3.

So that'd put Kentucky at #3, Ole Miss at #4, Tennessee at #5, and Missouri at #6.

MichaelJoeWilliamson · 03-07-2013, 10:28 PM

Whatever. All we need to worry about are the #9 and #8 teams. That winner is who we will play Friday. I do not want to meet UT on Saturday.

themistocles · 03-08-2013, 09:55 AM

Personally, I think that Missou will win Saturday.

Seems a bit odd, I know, and it may be nothing more than me pulling for one of my favorite Cities/States/Schools.

Any way you look at it, it is certainly interesting.

ufgator4ever · 03-08-2013, 10:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by themistocles

Personally, I expect Florida to either win or lose against Ky

Are you sure? What are vegas odds on an alternative outcome, like georgetown perhaps.

co_gator89 · 03-08-2013, 11:19 AM

2. Mizzou
3. Ole Miss
4. Bama

**ThePlayer** · 03-08-2013, 11:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by co_gator89

2. Mizzou
3. Ole Miss
4. Bama

My bet too.
If we beat Kentucky, Bama takes their spot.

**GothamGator** · 03-08-2013, 12:00 PM

Good thread.

Keep in mind that the tiebreakers are: 1) head-to-head and 2) record vs. highest seeded team (followed by next highest, etc.).

**GothamGator** · 03-08-2013, 12:18 PM

Here are the current standings, with opponents and tiebreaks. I am most interested in who gets the 8/9 and the 4/5 and would therefore be our likely opponents.

1. Florida 14-3, at Kentucky
2. Alabama 11-6, Georgia - beat UK, lost OM, lost MZ, split UT
2. Kentucky 11-6, Florida - lost AL, beat OM, beat MZ, split UT
2. Ole Miss 11-6, at LSU - beat AL, lost KY, split MZ, swept UT (2 games)
2. Missouri 11-6, at Tenn - beat AL, lost KY, split OM, UT to come
6. Tennessee 10-7, Mizzou - split AL, split KY, swept by OM, MZ to come ** lost to AR, swept by GA, beat LSU
7. Arkansas 9-8, Texas A&M - beat TN, beat GA, lost LSU
7. Georgia 9-8, at Alabama - swept TN, lost AR, beat LSU
7. LSU 9-8, Ole Miss - lost to TN, beat AR, lost to GA
10. Texas A&M 7-10, at Arkansas
10. Vanderbilt 7-10, S. Carolina
12. S. Carolina 4-13, at Vandy
13. Auburn 3-14, at Miss St.
13. Miss State 3-14, Auburn

The only teams that could end up in the 8/9 spot and play for a game against the Gators are Arkansas, LSU, Georgia and Tennessee. The Vols would have to lose to Missouri and at least two of the other three teams would have to win in order for Tennessee to fall to the 8th seed. Since Tennessee lost both of its games to Georgia, if the Dogs win and Tennessee loses on Saturday, there is a very good chance we play UT on Friday afternoon.

**ThePlayer** · 03-08-2013, 12:34 PM

Goth...aren't we 14-3 in league play?

And Kentucky has us at their place.

oneatatime · 03-08-2013, 01:18 PM

I prefer we avoid Missouri until the final.

Bowers and Orhiaki are a handful

**GothamGator** · 03-08-2013, 01:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ThePlayer

Goth...aren't we 14-3 in league play?

And Kentucky has us at their place.

Good catch. We are so far ahead I lost track!

**GothamGator** · 03-08-2013, 01:58 PM

It's tough to figure out who to root for in that Tennessee - Missouri game. On the one hand, a Tennessee loss makes it likely that we play them in a tough quarterfinal game. On the other, a Missouri loss makes it more likely we have them in a tough semifinal game.

TampaGatorFan · 03-08-2013, 02:15 PM

Doesn't matter...we're winning the SECT. Period.

InstiGATOR1 · 03-08-2013, 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GothamGator

Here are the current standings, with opponents and tiebreaks. I am most interested in who gets the 8/9 and the 4/5 and would therefore be our likely opponents.

7. Arkansas 9-8, Texas A&M - beat TN, beat GA, lost LSU
7. Georgia 9-8, at Alabama - swept TN, lost AR, beat LSU
7. LSU 9-8, Ole Miss - lost to TN, beat AR, lost to GA

Those wins at UGa and at LSU have come to look better and better in recent weeks.

**Gatorbait33** · 03-08-2013, 04:07 PM

1 UF
2 Bama
3 tiebreaker between UK/Missou/Ole Miss/Tennessee
4 tiebreaker between UK/Missou/Ole Miss/Tennessee

With how even the teams are, I'd take all the home teams, except of course UK because we're just flat out better.

themistocles · 03-09-2013, 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ufgator4ever

Are you sure? What are vegas odds on an alternative outcome, like georgetown perhaps.

Good Q, 4ever. I hand't considered that possibility, although, as we know, anything can happen, like a tornado, or perhaps a meteorite strike, or the lights going out permanently like it seemed at this year's Super Bowl.