#1 in Pomeroy Ranking Again

[corpgator]

We're the most efficient team to date. Close losses are always treated as random by his system.

http://kenpom.com/

[swampgas44]

Originally Posted by corpgator

We're the most efficient team to date. Close losses are always treated as random by his system.

http://kenpom.com/

Wins and losses are not figured into Pomeroy at all. Just statistical information during the game. There predicted scores are quite accurate because of this fact.

[gatorbogey]

we returned back to form vs UGA. quite efficient. still room for improvement too!

[InstiGATOR1]

Yep UF jumped back to number one in his rankings after the UGa game and remained there after the Thursday night games.

[InstiGATOR1]

After the Saturday games UF is ranked second in adjusted offense and second in adjusted defense.

[GatorRade]

Originally Posted by InstiGATOR1

After the Saturday games UF is ranked second in adjusted offense and second in adjusted defense.

Holy crap!

ps Louisville is on pace for a defensive season for the record books.

[gatorbogey]

Originally Posted by InstiGATOR1

After the Saturday games UF is ranked second in adjusted offense and second in adjusted defense.

and to think: i'm bitchin' about something on practically every possession, it seems

[Bryan85]

Here's the updated Massey Ranking. UF is #8. Click on UF to see the remaining games and the percentage of chance at a win, like Pom does. Massey has UF as big favs in most every game..... 84% at TAMU.

Of course other factors..... Did TAMU's "light go on" when conference play began last week vs Arky? Is UF severely weakened due to health problems?

Will TAMU be negatively effected by playing UF in ....the game after the big win.... this Thursday? The worst disease in college sports is.... Victory Fever, after all.

http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.ph...b&sub=NCAA%20I

[gatorbogey]

we can only hope A&M comes back to earth....

[InstiGATOR1]

Originally Posted by gatorbogey

and to think: i'm bitchin' about something on practically every possession, it seems

Yeah, I think two points might might reconcile this:

1. There are lots of bad offenses out there this year so you can be second most efficient and still make some less than ideal offensive play.

2. There are lots of bad offenses out there this year so you can sometime get by with some defensive mistakes.

[themistocles]

According to Pomeroy's values, there are no meaningful differences among the top 10-12 schools: UF - .98; Louisville, Indiana, Duke - .97; Michigan, Minnesota - .96; Kansas, Syracuse, Pittsburgh - .95; Ohio State, VCU - .94.

You simply cannot say that .9784 is higher than .9725 because the variability inherent to all measures (error) means that both are "approximations" with perhaps a .01 confidence interval of + or -.025 above or below the computed estimate.

So, basically, the Gators are in the Top 10 in Pomeroy ratings, as they are in almost all other ratings as well.

[GatorLurker]

#1 in Kenpom and #1 in Sagarin Predictor. The Gator Boys be ballin'. This is a VERY good team.

[GataBaitx3]

Originally Posted by GatorLurker

#1 in Kenpom and #1 in Sagarin Predictor. The Gator Boys be ballin'. This is a VERY good team.

A good team with a lot of key injuries right now.

[tommyuf21]

Originally Posted by Bryan85

Will TAMU be negatively effected by playing UF in ....the game after the big win.... this Thursday? The worst disease in college sports is.... Victory Fever, after all.

http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.ph...b&sub=NCAA%20I

It could be a factor. I'd much rather play them after a big win than a close loss. The win gets our guy's attention and maybe has TAMU thinking they're a little better than they are.

[gogators73]

TAMU won at UK but I think a ton of teams could do that this year. This TAMU team isn't very good unless they all of a sudden put it together. I think we are just saying "wow, they won at Kentucky." But UK is pretty bad too. But still, it is on the road.

[gatorbogey]

here's UF's line on pomeroy:
1 Florida SEC 12-2 0.9784 121.1 2 83.5 2

btw, UK is 17th, ole miss is 20th and missouri is 26th
w/ Arizona at 14th, Wisconsin at 15th, Marquette 40th, Kansas State 45th, Middle Tenn State is 54th & Georgetown is 60th.

top 10 Sagarin thru Jan 13th 2013:

College Basketball 2012-2013 Div I games only through 2013 January 13 Sunday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 25 | VS top 50 | ELO_SCORE | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.46] [ 3.37] [ 3.63]
1 Duke = 94.51 15 1 77.84( 6) 4 1 | 5 1 | 94.42 1 | 94.30 2
2 Florida = 93.27 12 2 75.84( 28) 0 1 | 3 2 | 92.12 6 | 94.55 1
3 Indiana = 93.11 15 1 71.94( 213) 1 0 | 2 1 | 92.38 5 | 93.65 4
4 Louisville = 92.35 15 1 74.34( 72) 1 1 | 2 1 | 91.02 7 | 93.96 3
5 Kansas = 92.30 14 1 75.40( 42) 1 1 | 6 1 | 92.70 2 | 91.67 7
6 Minnesota = 92.30 15 2 77.05( 13) 1 2 | 3 2 | 92.58 3 | 91.76 5
7 Michigan = 92.21 15 1 74.59( 65) 2 1 | 4 1 | 92.39 4 | 91.75 6
8 Syracuse = 90.78 16 1 72.70( 168) 1 0 | 1 1 | 90.25 10 | 91.07 8
9 Creighton = 90.44 16 1 73.81( 103) 0 1 | 1 1 | 91.01 8 | 89.68 9
10 Arizona = 90.08 15 1 76.60( 16) 3 1 | 4 1 | 90.77 9 | 89.22 13
25 Missouri = 85.77 12 3 73.80( 104) 1 2 | 3 3 | 85.93 28 | 85.32 25

51 Kentucky = 82.20 10 5 72.06( 206) 0 3 | 0 4 | 79.22 74 | 86.71 19

58 Texas A&M = 81.47 12 3 72.83( 165) 0 0 | 1 2 | 83.37 46 | 79.69 72

[tommyuf21]

It's a little bit of both. UK hasn't put it together yet, obviously. The Vandy game showed where they were vulnerable and TAMU was good enough to take advantage.

Aggies aren't nearly as bad as they looked against Southern or St. Louis either.

[themistocles]

So, if the Massey probabilities are reasonably accurate, they indicate a remaining win/loss record of 14-2, which would be 16-2 total in the SEC.

Given the continual injuries and the Gators amazing ability to lose games in which they aren't crushing the opponent (e.g. Arizona and K-state this year), I think the Gators end up losing 3 or 4 SEC games, but this is clearly a good team, which, if, when Healthy, could Win the SEC, the SEC tournament, and even possibly the National Crown.

We will see what we sill see.