Originally Posted by ArtVandelay
You are wayyy off...
If we win vs UK, then we will be at worst a 3 seed.
If we then win on Friday, we will be at worst a 2 seed.
If we win out, we will be a 1 seed.
We have a ton of teams to leap for a 1 seed. People seem to forget other teams are playing as well.
Gonzaga is a 1 if they win out.
The Big 10 can get multiple ones and definitely one 1. What if Michigan beats Indiana in the title game? Michigan State? Indiana is virtually a lock.
A team other than Kansas or KSU to win the Big 12 as either team would be a 1 over us.
A team other than Duke or Miami to win the ACC, either team would be a 1 over us.
A team other than Louisville or Georgetown to win the Big East as both would be a 1 over us.
Then there are totally plausible monkey wrenches where we get jumped. What if either OSU (Ohio St and Okl State) have a monster tournament with a top 5 win with other quality wins whereas we don't add any more quality wins. They could jump us.
It is certainly possible we get a 1, but we need quite a bit of help.
Realistically the Zags will win out.
Then we need Indiana to win the Big 10.
Then we need two (or 3 if Indiana doesn't win out) of an upset in the B12 (KU, KSU) that isn't Oklahoma State, an upset in the ACC (Miami Duke) and an upset in the Big East (GT, LVille).
Possible? Sure. But a 2 is more likely if we win out.