Data on seasons that follow bowl performance

[mikehev]

Seasons that followed bowl wins since 1990 (average 10 wins the following year, average SEC championship 25% of the time, national championship 8% of the time, BCS level bowl 50% of the time):

1993: 11-2 (SEC champs) beat WVU in the Sugar Bowl (record vs. rivals 2-1)
1994: 10-2-1 (SEC champs) lost to FSU in the Sugar Bowl (record vs. rivals 2-1-1)
1997: 10-2 beat Penn St in the citrus bowl (record vs. rivals 2-1)
1998: 10-2 lost to Mich St. in the citrus bowl (record vs. rivals 1-2)
2000: 10-2 lost to Miami in the Sugar bowl (record vs. rivals 2-1)
2002: 8-5 lost to Michigan in Outback bowl (record vs. rivals 2-1)
2006: 13-1 (SEC, National champs) beat OSU in national championship (record vs. rivals 3-0)
2007: 9-4 lost to Michigan in Capitol One bowl (record vs. rivals 2-1)
2009: 13-1 beat Cincinnati in Sugar Bowl (record vs. rivals 3-0)
2010: 9-4 beat Penn St. in Outback bowl (record vs. rivals 2-1)
2011: 7-6 beat OSU in Gator bowl (record vs. rivals 1-2)
2012: 11-2 lost to Louisville in Sugar Bowl (record vs. rivals 2-1)

Seasons that followed bowl losses (average 10 wins the following year, SEC championship 33% of the time, National championship 22% of the time, BCS level bowl appearance 56% of the time):

1992: 9-4 beat NC State in Gator bowl (record vs. rivals 1-2)
1995: 12-1 (SEC champs) lost to Nebraska in Fiesta bowl (record vs. rivals 3-0)
1996: 12-1 (SEC champs, National Champs) beat FSU in Sugar Bowl (record vs. rivals 3-1)
1999: 10-3 beat Syracuse in Orange bowl (record vs. rivals 2-1)
2001: 10-2 beat Maryland in Orange bowl (record vs. rivals 2-1)
2003: 8-5 lost to Iowa in Outback bowl (record vs. rivals 1-2)
2004: 8-5 lost to Miami in Peach bowl (record vs. rivals 1-2)
2005: 10-3 beat Iowa in Outback bowl (record vs. rivals 3-0)
2008: 13-1 (SEC champs, National Champs) beat Oklahoma in BCS championship (record vs. rivals 3-0)


Based on the ratios, next year will be great!!!!

Kidding of course. All this means is that the bowl has little to no bearing on the following year.

I think we have a shot to win it all next year, because I think we will have one of the best teams in the country.

In Christ forever,
Mike
John 3:16

[kellgator]

Hopefully this loss doesn't hurt our recruiting momentum because in order for your data to hold true we need some help at WR and OL.

[Matthanuf06]

There is NO such thing as season to season momentum. Heck game to game momentum has no evidence either.

Our problems are at QB, conservative shortening game tactics, and replacing D talent. Whether we won or lost doesn't mean those issues will be resolved. Those questions will drive next year.

Me changing shirts to adjust the mojo will have equal impact as a previous seasons bowl game

[mikehev]

Originally Posted by kellgator

Hopefully this loss doesn't hurt our recruiting momentum because in order for your data to hold true we need some help at WR and OL.

All on their way...

WR: Fulwood, Bailey, Hawkins, Thompson, and likely D. Robinson
OL: 2 D-1 transfers, 1 JUCO, and 2 Frosh

In Christ forever,
Mike
Psalm 121